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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 60-34 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 15-24 (38.5%) · S 6-5 (54.5%) · A 110-46 (70.5%) · B 1040-551 (65.4%)
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Today's Locks
Current Streak
🔥 1
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMNYM vs ATH · vs Aaron Civale · 1:40 PM
Score
76.5
Prob
68%
Tier
B
✓ HIT
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLATL vs CLECLE · vs Tanner Bibee · 7:20 PM
Score
76.5
Prob
68%
Tier
B
✓ HIT
Yesterday's Card
27-9 Record 75.0% Hit Rate 36 Picks
▼
Player Score Tier Line Result
Otto Lopez 75.9 B 2-for-4 ✓ HIT
Bobby Witt Jr. 75.6 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Trea Turner 75.5 B 0-for-4, 2K ✗ MISS
Tyler Freeman 75.5 B 1-for-2 ✓ HIT
Kyle Tucker 75.2 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Matt Olson 73.4 B 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
Fernando Tatis Jr. 73.4 B 3-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Shohei Ohtani 73.3 B 2-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
James Wood 73.1 B 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
Elly De La Cruz 72.3 B 3-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Alec Bohm 72.1 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Sal Stewart 72.1 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
William Contreras 71.4 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Freddie Freeman 71.3 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Andy Pages 71.3 B 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
Colt Keith 71.2 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Luis Arraez 70.6 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Cal Raleigh 70.5 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Drake Baldwin 70.5 B 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
CJ Abrams 70.4 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Matt Chapman 70.3 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Bryce Harper 70.2 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Agustín Ramírez 70.2 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Ronald Acuña Jr. 70.1 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Nico Hoerner 69.9 B 1-for-6 ✓ HIT
Taylor Ward 69.8 B 0-for-3, 2K ✗ MISS
Mickey Moniak 69.8 B 3-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Jordan Walker 69.7 B 1-for-3, 2K ✓ HIT
Christian Walker 69.6 B 0-for-1 ✗ MISS
Jeremy Peña 69.4 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Brendan Donovan 69.1 B — ✗ MISS
Gunnar Henderson 69.1 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Xavier Edwards 68.9 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Oneil Cruz 68.8 B 4-for-5 ✓ HIT
Zach Neto 68.2 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Bo Bichette 68.0 B 2-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
0
🔒 LOCKS
21
TOTAL PICKS
0
S/A TIER
76.5
TOP SCORE
13-5
Record
72%
Hit Rate
3
Pending
21
Total Picks
Today's Locks
B
Juan Soto

Juan Soto
76.5
68% hit prob
NYM vs ATH • vs Aaron Civale (R) • 1:40 PM projected
🔥 8-game streak L7: .333 (7/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
21212111 L10
Faces Aaron Civale (5.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Soto is scorching — 8 straight games with a hit and a 0.333 L7 average. Soto is averaging 93.1 mph exit velocity this season with a 50% hard-hit rate.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.0
K/9
5.4
H/9
7.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Matt Olson

Matt Olson
76.5
68% hit prob
ATL vs CLE • vs Tanner Bibee (R) • 7:20 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .240 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
131111111 L10
Olson is averaging 93.4 mph exit velocity this season with a 51% hard-hit rate. Olson has a 15.4% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Tanner Bibee (4.00 ERA) — a plus matchup by the model.
2-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.0
WHIP
1.33
K/9
11.0
H/9
8.0
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr.
76.1
68% hit prob
SD vs COL • vs Kyle Freeland (L) • 4:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .259 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
1111113 L10
Jr.'s 51.2% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Draws Kyle Freeland, who's giving up 9.9 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him.
2-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.12/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.89
WHIP
1.39
K/9
7.91
H/9
9.9
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Maikel Garcia

Maikel Garcia
75.2
68% hit prob
KC vs CWS • vs Grant Taylor (R) • 2:10 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .333 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
3221212 L10
Garcia has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games. Draws Grant Taylor, who's giving up 13.5 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Garcia has hits in 4 straight, carrying a 0.333 average over his last 7.
0-4
H-AB
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.72/35
Contact
14.0/20
Pitcher
12.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.5
WHIP
2.5
K/9
18.0
H/9
13.5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Gunnar Henderson

Gunnar Henderson
74.8
68% hit prob
BAL vs SF • vs Adrian Houser (R) • 1:35 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .259 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
13112111 L10
Henderson is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.259 over his last 7. Draws Adrian Houser, who's giving up 12.3 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him.
1-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.8/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
1.5
K/9
7.06
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
William Contreras

William Contreras
73.3
67% hit prob
MIL vs WSH • vs Zack Littell (R) • 2:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 7-game streak L7: .296 (7/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
121121111 L10
Faces Zack Littell who carries a 5.40 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitter-friendly park factor at American Family Field. Contreras is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.296 L7 average.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.8/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
6.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.6
K/9
1.8
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Drake Baldwin

Drake Baldwin
73.0
67% hit prob
ATL vs CLE • vs Tanner Bibee (R) • 7:20 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 6-game streak L7: .379 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
211322121 L10
Baldwin is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.379 over his last 7. Baldwin is averaging 92.8 mph exit velocity this season with a 54% hard-hit rate. Baldwin has a 18.6% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
0-5
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
11.5/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.0
WHIP
1.33
K/9
11.0
H/9
8.0
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Matt Chapman

Matt Chapman
72.7
67% hit prob
SF vs BAL • vs Cade Povich (L) • 1:35 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 7-game streak L7: .444 (7/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
21223121 L10
Chapman is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.444 L7 average. Chapman is outperforming his xBA by 37 points (0.246 AVG vs 0.209 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Faces Cade Povich (3.5 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.2/35
Contact
11.5/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
6.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.18
WHIP
1.24
K/9
3.46
H/9
6.9
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Nico Hoerner

Nico Hoerner
72.5
67% hit prob
CHC vs PIT • vs Bubba Chandler (R) • 2:20 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .321 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
31112311 L10
Hoerner is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.321 over his last 7. Hoerner's xBA (0.296) outpaces his actual average (0.248) by 47 points — positive regression is coming. Hoerner has only struck out at a 7% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 28 PAs) — elite contact window.
2-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
9.5/20
Pitcher
5.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.38
K/9
13.17
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
71.8
67% hit prob
TOR vs MIN • vs Taj Bradley (R) • 1:37 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .346 (5/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
2111232 L10
Jr. has hits in 3 straight, carrying a 0.346 average over his last 7. Jr.'s xBA (0.307) outpaces his actual average (0.277) by 29 points — positive regression is coming. Goes up against Taj Bradley (0.87 ERA) today.
1-3
H-AB
2
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.34/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
0.87
WHIP
1.16
K/9
10.69
H/9
7.1
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Rafael Devers

Rafael Devers
69.7
66% hit prob
SF vs BAL • vs Cade Povich (L) • 1:35 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .214 (5/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
211211 L10
Devers's 49.4% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Faces Cade Povich (3.5 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play.
1-4
H-AB
3
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.22/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
6.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.18
WHIP
1.24
K/9
3.46
H/9
6.9
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
Zach Neto

Zach Neto
69.6
66% hit prob
LAA vs CIN • vs Andrew Abbott (L) • 1:40 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 7-game streak L7: .323 (7/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
22111122 L10
Neto is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.323 L7 average. Draws Andrew Abbott, who's giving up 9.6 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park.
0-3
H-AB
3
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.6/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
7.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.09
WHIP
1.37
K/9
7.23
H/9
9.6
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Jordan Walker

Jordan Walker
69.6
66% hit prob
STL vs BOS • vs Brayan Bello (R) • 2:15 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 7-game streak L7: .393 (7/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
3121121 L10
Walker is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.393 L7 average. Walker is averaging 94.4 mph exit velocity this season with a 53% hard-hit rate. Walker has a 14.6% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
2-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.6/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.64
WHIP
2.36
K/9
4.29
H/9
17.1
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Bryce Harper

Bryce Harper
69.5
66% hit prob
PHI vs AZ • vs Zac Gallen (R) • 1:35 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .333 (5/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
11231121 L10
Faces Zac Gallen (3.6 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Harper is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.333 over his last 7. Harper's xBA (0.290) outpaces his actual average (0.263) by 26 points — positive regression is coming.
2-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.5/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
6.0/10
Park
3.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.1
K/9
3.6
H/9
8.1
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
James Wood

James Wood
69.5
66% hit prob
WSH vs MIL • vs Brandon Woodruff (R) • 2:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .429 (6/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
11122241 L10
Wood has a 25.9% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Goes up against Brandon Woodruff (3.60 ERA) today. Hitter-friendly park factor at American Family Field.
1-3
H-AB
1
K
2
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.0/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
3.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
0.8
K/9
10.8
H/9
7.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Bo Bichette

Bo Bichette
69.0
66% hit prob
NYM vs ATH • vs Aaron Civale (R) • 1:40 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .321 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
113212112 L10
Bichette's xBA (0.279) outpaces his actual average (0.230) by 49 points — positive regression is coming. Bichette's 45.7% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Faces Aaron Civale (5.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play.
0-4
H-AB
2
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
9.5/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.0
K/9
5.4
H/9
7.2
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Bobby Witt Jr.

Bobby Witt Jr.
69.0
66% hit prob
KC vs CWS • vs Grant Taylor (R) • 2:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .286 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
112221 L10
Jr. is averaging 93.8 mph exit velocity this season with a 54% hard-hit rate. Jr. has a 13.2% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Quietly productive — Jr. owns a 0.286 average across his last 7 starts.
1-2
H-AB
1
K
3
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.54/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
12.0/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.5
WHIP
2.5
K/9
18.0
H/9
13.5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
Oneil Cruz

Oneil Cruz
69.0
66% hit prob
PIT vs CHC • vs Jameson Taillon (R) • 2:20 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 10-game streak L7: .393 (7/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
3211211114 L10
Faces Jameson Taillon (6.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Cruz is scorching — 10 straight games with a hit and a 0.393 L7 average. Cruz is averaging 96.1 mph exit velocity this season with a 60% hard-hit rate.
1-4
H-AB
3
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.5/35
Contact
17.0/20
Pitcher
6.0/20
Lineup
6.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.29
K/9
6.43
H/9
4.3
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
B
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Peña
68.9
66% hit prob
HOU vs SEA • vs Logan Gilbert (R) • 4:10 PM projected
🔥 3-game streak L7: .286 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
21122111 L10
Peña's xBA (0.314) outpaces his actual average (0.280) by 33 points — positive regression is coming. Peña has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 28 PAs) — elite contact window. Peña has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.42/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
3.0/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
1.41
K/9
11.47
H/9
10.6
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Brandon Nimmo

Brandon Nimmo
68.9
66% hit prob
TEX vs LAD • vs Roki Sasaki (R) • 4:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .308 (4/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
2122213 L10
Nimmo's 50.9% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Nimmo has a 12.9% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Roki Sasaki who carries a 7.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
2-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.44/35
Contact
11.5/20
Pitcher
12.0/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
7.0
WHIP
1.56
K/9
9.0
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Luis Arraez

Luis Arraez
68.4
66% hit prob
SF vs BAL • vs Cade Povich (L) • 1:35 PM projected
🔥 1-game streak L7: .292 (5/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
32112121 L10
5 hits in 7 games and a 0.292 clip — Arraez is seeing it well. Faces Cade Povich (3.5 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Arraez is outperforming his xBA by 31 points (0.324 AVG vs 0.293 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.92/35
Contact
5.5/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
6.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.18
WHIP
1.24
K/9
3.46
H/9
6.9
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
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