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Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 60-34 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 15-24 (38.5%) · S 6-5 (54.5%) · A 110-46 (70.5%) · B 1040-551 (65.4%)
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Today's Locks
Current Streak
🔥 1
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALBAL vs AZAZ · vs Eduardo Rodriguez · 12:35 PM
Score
85.5
Prob
71%
Tier
A
✓ HIT
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAMIA vs ATLATL · vs Bryce Elder · 7:15 PM
Score
83.4
Prob
70%
Tier
A
✓ HIT
Yesterday's Card
19-15 Record 55.9% Hit Rate 34 Picks
Player Score Tier Line Result
Matt Olson 83.5 A 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Ronald Acuña Jr. 82.3 A 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Aaron Judge 78.1 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Willson Contreras 77.7 B 0-for-1, 1K ✗ MISS
Ildemaro Vargas 77.0 B 1-for-5, 2K ✓ HIT
Drake Baldwin 76.5 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Oneil Cruz 76.1 B 0-for-5, 3K ✗ MISS
Gunnar Henderson 76.0 B 0-for-5, 2K ✗ MISS
Ben Rice 76.0 B ✗ MISS
William Contreras 75.7 B 2-for-5 ✓ HIT
James Wood 74.4 B 0-for-3, 3K ✗ MISS
Tyler Freeman 74.3 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Bryan Reynolds 73.2 B 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 73.0 B 2-for-5 ✓ HIT
Jordan Walker 72.4 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Daylen Lile 72.4 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Elly De La Cruz 72.2 B 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
Jo Adell 71.9 B 2-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Shea Langeliers 71.8 B 0-for-2, 2K ✗ MISS
Jarren Duran 71.8 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Masataka Yoshida 71.5 B 2-for-4 ✓ HIT
CJ Abrams 70.9 B 3-for-4 ✓ HIT
Otto Lopez 70.4 B 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
Carlos Correa 70.3 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Ezequiel Tovar 69.8 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Ryan O'Hearn 69.5 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Freddie Freeman 69.3 B 0-for-4, 2K ✗ MISS
Colt Keith 69.1 B 0-for-1 ✗ MISS
Ozzie Albies 68.9 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Max Muncy 68.8 B 0-for-3, 2K ✗ MISS
Iván Herrera 68.3 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Wilyer Abreu 68.3 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Brandon Lowe 68.2 B 1-for-2, 1K ✓ HIT
Rafael Devers 68.0 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
0
🔒 LOCKS
34
TOTAL PICKS
6
S/A TIER
85.5
TOP SCORE
20-14
Record
59%
Hit Rate
0
Pending
34
Total Picks
Today's Locks (14 locks)
🔒 LOCK
A
85.5
71% hit prob
BAL vs AZ • vs Eduardo Rodriguez (L) • #2 • 12:35 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .226 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 85°F · 5mph
11211111 L10
Matchup vs Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Henderson has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
1-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.2
K/9
9.0
H/9
7.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
A
83.4
70% hit prob
MIA vs ATL • vs Bryce Elder (R) • #3 • 7:15 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .269 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 81°F · 5mph +0.7% edge
222112111 L10
BetRivers -225
MGM -250
BOL -250
Bovada -260
DK -262
Lopez has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games. Matchup vs Bryce Elder (RHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here. +0.7% edge at -225 (BetRivers).
2-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.92/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.0
K/9
7.5
H/9
7.5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
A
82.0
69% hit prob
ATL vs MIA • vs Chris Paddack (R) • #3 • 7:15 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 8-game streak L7: .310 (7/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 81°F · 5mph +149.8% edge
111111221 L10
DK 260+
BetRivers 240+
MGM -220
BOL -233
Bovada -260
Olson is averaging 93.4 mph exit velocity this season with a 51% hard-hit rate. Olson has a 15.4% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Chris Paddack who carries a 8.31 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
8.31
WHIP
1.73
K/9
10.98
H/9
12.1
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
A
81.4
69% hit prob
WSH vs PIT • vs Mason Montgomery (L) • #1 • 6:40 PM ✗ MISS
L7: .440 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 8mph +5.7% edge
12224111 L10
MGM -190
BOL -204
BetRivers -205
Bovada -220
DK -222
Wood has a 25.9% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. A 0.440 average in his last 7 — Wood's timing is locked in right now. Faces Mason Montgomery who carries a 9.64 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
0-4
H-AB
2
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.9/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.64
WHIP
2.36
K/9
21.43
H/9
15.0
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
A
80.8
69% hit prob
ATL vs MIA • vs Chris Paddack (R) • #1 • 7:15 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
L7: .310 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 81°F · 5mph -13.0% edge
2122121 L10
BetRivers -385
BOL -435
Jr.'s 45.3% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Jr. has a 14.8% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Quietly productive — Jr. owns a 0.310 average across his last 7 starts.
2-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.8/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
8.31
WHIP
1.73
K/9
10.98
H/9
12.1
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
A
80.6
69% hit prob
PIT vs WSH • vs Jake Irvin (R) • #1 • 6:40 PM ✗ MISS
L7: .357 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 8mph -3.2% edge
121111412 L10
MGM -250
BetRivers -278
BOL -400
Cruz is averaging 96.1 mph exit velocity this season with a 60% hard-hit rate. Cruz has a 16.7% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. A 0.357 average in his last 7 — Cruz's timing is locked in right now.
0-4
H-AB
2
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.1/35
Contact
17.0/20
Pitcher
13.0/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
0.8
K/9
12.6
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
79.5
69% hit prob
NYY vs LAA • vs Jack Kochanowicz (R) • #2 • 7:05 PM ✗ MISS
L7: .333 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 83°F · 10mph +1.7% edge
1111121 L10
MGM -210
BetRivers -305
BOL -312
Rice is averaging 92.5 mph exit velocity this season with a 52% hard-hit rate. Rice has a 17.8% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Rice is hitting 0.333 over his last 7 (5/7 with a hit).
0-4
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
17.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
3.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
11.25
WHIP
2.25
K/9
6.75
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
79.4
69% hit prob
WSH vs PIT • vs Mason Montgomery (L) • #3 • 6:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .276 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 8mph -3.6% edge
1111221 L10
MGM -250
BOL -250
BetRivers -250
DK -273
Faces Mason Montgomery who carries a 9.64 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitting 3rd in the order today. Lile is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.276 over his last 7.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.42/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.64
WHIP
2.36
K/9
21.43
H/9
15.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
77.9
69% hit prob
STL vs CLE • vs Slade Cecconi (R) • #4 • 1:15 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 10-game streak L7: .345 (7/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 72°F · 10mph +112.6% edge
3121121221 L10
DK 210+
BetRivers 190+
Significant +112.6% edge at +210 (DraftKings). Hitting 4th in the order today. Walker is scorching — 10 straight games with a hit and a 0.345 L7 average.
1-5
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.9/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.23
WHIP
1.06
K/9
9.8
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
77.9
69% hit prob
WSH vs PIT • vs Mason Montgomery (L) • #5 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .458 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 8mph +1.2% edge
111221213 L10
MGM -210
BOL -217
DK -219
Bovada -230
BetRivers -235
Abrams is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.458 over his last 7. Faces Mason Montgomery who carries a 9.64 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. +1.2% edge at -210 (BetMGM).
1-1
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.92/35
Contact
15.0/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.64
WHIP
2.36
K/9
21.43
H/9
15.0
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
77.2
68% hit prob
MIL vs TOR • vs Dylan Cease (R) • #2 • 7:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 9-game streak L7: .321 (7/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F +6.4% edge
112111112 L10
BOL -179
MGM -185
Bovada -185
BetRivers -186
DK -187
Goes up against Dylan Cease (1.69 ERA) today. Significant +6.4% edge at -179 (BetOnline.ag). Hitter-friendly park factor at American Family Field.
2-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.7/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.94
K/9
21.18
H/9
5.3
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
76.3
68% hit prob
ATH vs TEX • vs Kumar Rocker (R) • #2 • 9:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
L7: .286 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 67°F · 9mph
221212 L10
Quietly productive — Langeliers owns a 0.286 average across his last 7 starts. Matchup vs Kumar Rocker (RHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
2-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.8/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
76.2
68% hit prob
MIA vs ATL • vs Bryce Elder (R) • #2 • 7:15 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .269 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 81°F · 5mph +91.1% edge
221112 L10
DK 180+
BetRivers 163+
BOL -357
Matchup vs Bryce Elder (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Significant +91.1% edge at +180 (DraftKings). Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
1-4
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.72/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.0
K/9
7.5
H/9
7.5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
76.1
68% hit prob
NYY vs LAA • vs Jack Kochanowicz (R) • #3 • 7:05 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .231 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 83°F · 10mph -15.4% edge
2211121 L10
BOL -417
BetRivers -420
Judge is averaging 94.1 mph exit velocity this season with a 57% hard-hit rate. Judge has a 21.7% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Jack Kochanowicz who carries a 11.25 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
1-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.14/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
17.0/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
3.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
11.25
WHIP
2.25
K/9
6.75
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
Additional picks
B
75.8
68% hit prob
LAD vs NYM • vs Clay Holmes (R) • #2 • 10:10 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
L7: .250 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 66°F · 7mph
21212112 L10
Freeman's 46.8% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Goes up against Clay Holmes (3.18 ERA) today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
2-4
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.32/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
7.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.18
WHIP
1.24
K/9
8.65
H/9
6.9
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
75.0
68% hit prob
ATL vs MIA • vs Chris Paddack (R) • #2 • 7:15 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .300 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 81°F · 5mph -7.5% edge
32212112 L10
MGM -275
BetRivers -345
BOL -417
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Baldwin is averaging 92.8 mph exit velocity this season with a 54% hard-hit rate. Baldwin has a 18.6% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
2-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
9.5/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
8.31
WHIP
1.73
K/9
10.98
H/9
12.1
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
73.8
68% hit prob
STL vs CLE • vs Slade Cecconi (R) • #2 • 1:15 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 3-game streak L7: .200 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 72°F · 10mph +82.3% edge
1111111 L10
BetRivers 170+
DK 155+
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Herrera has been getting on base, with hits in 5 of 7 recent games. Faces Slade Cecconi who carries a 5.23 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
0-2
H-AB
3
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.82/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.23
WHIP
1.06
K/9
9.8
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
72.3
67% hit prob
ATH vs TEX • vs Kumar Rocker (R) • #7 • 9:40 PM ✗ MISS
L7: .292 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 67°F · 9mph
22112121 L10
Quietly productive — Muncy owns a 0.292 average across his last 7 starts. Matchup vs Kumar Rocker (RHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Muncy is averaging 92.5 mph exit velocity this season with a 56% hard-hit rate.
0-3
H-AB
3
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.82/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
71.5
67% hit prob
AZ vs BAL • vs Kyle Bradish (R) • #6 • 12:35 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 10-game streak L7: .323 (7/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 85°F · 5mph
1211311121 L10
Vargas is scorching — 10 straight games with a hit and a 0.323 L7 average. Goes up against Kyle Bradish (3.86 ERA) today.
2-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
5.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.86
WHIP
1.07
K/9
8.57
H/9
4.3
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
B
71.5
67% hit prob
TB vs CWS • vs Sean Burke (R) • #4 • 7:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .308 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 73°F · 14mph +36.6% edge
11122112 L10
MGM 105+
BetRivers -108
DK -110
BOL -286
Díaz has only struck out at a 8% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 26 PAs) — elite contact window. Díaz's 45.3% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Faces Sean Burke who carries a 6.75 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
1-2
H-AB
2
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.04/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
2.0
K/9
11.25
H/9
15.8
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
TOR vs MIL • vs Chad Patrick (R) • #3 • 7:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .370 (5/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F -10.4% edge
11123212 L10
BetRivers -286
BOL -323
Draws Chad Patrick, who's giving up 11.0 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Hitter-friendly park factor at American Family Field. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
1-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.02/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.08
WHIP
1.38
K/9
8.78
H/9
11.0
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
71.1
66% hit prob
NYY vs LAA • vs Jack Kochanowicz (R) • #4 • 7:05 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .207 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 83°F · 10mph -4.0% edge
1111211 L10
MGM -225
BOL -238
Bovada -250
DK -253
BetRivers -278
Bellinger has recorded a hit in 5 of his last 7 games. Faces Jack Kochanowicz who carries a 11.25 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitting 4th in the order today.
1-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.14/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
17.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
3.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
11.25
WHIP
2.25
K/9
6.75
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
70.9
66% hit prob
CLE vs STL • vs Dustin May (R) • #2 • 1:15 PM ✗ MISS
L7: .217 (4/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 72°F · 10mph +50.0% edge
111112 L10
DK 126+
BetRivers 116+
MGM 105+
Significant +50.0% edge at +126 (DraftKings). Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. DeLauter's xBA (0.285) outpaces his actual average (0.255) by 29 points — positive regression is coming.
0-3
H-AB
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.38/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
13.5
WHIP
2.75
K/9
6.75
H/9
22.5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
70.8
66% hit prob
CLE vs STL • vs Dustin May (R) • #3 • 1:15 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .321 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 72°F · 10mph +45.9% edge
22122 L10
DK 120+
BetRivers 114+
Faces Dustin May who carries a 13.50 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Significant +45.9% edge at +120 (DraftKings). Hitting 3rd in the order today.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
26.32/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
13.5
WHIP
2.75
K/9
6.75
H/9
22.5
Last 10 Games 5/10 with a hit
B
70.4
66% hit prob
LAA vs NYY • vs Luis Gil (R) • #4 • 7:05 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .387 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 83°F · 10mph +3.7% edge
112231222 L10
MGM -175
BOL -192
BetRivers -205
Bovada -210
DK -211
Adell's 46.0% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Adell is swinging a 0.387 bat over his last 7 games (6/7 with a hit). Faces Luis Gil (RHP) on the mound today.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.92/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
3.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
70.2
66% hit prob
PIT vs WSH • vs Jake Irvin (R) • #3 • 6:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .346 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 82°F · 8mph -5.8% edge
21112131 L10
MGM -235
BetRivers -335
BOL -385
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Reynolds is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.346 over his last 7. Goes up against Jake Irvin (3.60 ERA) today.
0-1
H-AB
3
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.22/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
0.8
K/9
12.6
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.2
66% hit prob
CIN vs SF • vs Tyler Mahle (R) • #3 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .308 (5/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 80°F · 13mph -3.5% edge
12211321 L10
BOL -217
MGM -220
DK -238
BetRivers -240
Bovada -240
Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park. Hitting 3rd in the order today. Cruz is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.308 over his last 7.
1-4
H-AB
3
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.72/35
Contact
17.0/20
Pitcher
6.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.5
WHIP
1.5
K/9
11.25
H/9
11.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.0
66% hit prob
TB vs CWS • vs Sean Burke (R) • #1 • 7:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 9-game streak L7: .440 (7/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 73°F · 14mph +19.2% edge
212211131 L10
BetRivers -124
DK -130
BOL -333
Significant +19.2% edge at -124 (BetRivers). Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Simpson is scorching — 9 straight games with a hit and a 0.440 L7 average.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
3.0/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
2.0
K/9
11.25
H/9
15.8
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
69.4
66% hit prob
LAD vs NYM • vs Clay Holmes (R) • #6 • 10:10 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
L7: .280 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 66°F · 7mph
31213111 L10
Pages's 48.0% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Pages is hitting 0.280 over his last 7 (5/7 with a hit). Goes up against Clay Holmes (3.18 ERA) today.
2-3
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.92/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.18
WHIP
1.24
K/9
8.65
H/9
6.9
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.3
66% hit prob
HOU vs COL • vs Jose Quintana (L) • #1 • 8:10 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 6-game streak L7: .300 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 73°F
21211311 L10
Correa is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.300 over his last 7. Faces Jose Quintana (1.85 WHIP) — he's been putting baserunners on all season. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
0-2
H-AB
2
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.8/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
8.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.15
WHIP
1.85
K/9
4.39
H/9
8.8
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.1
66% hit prob
BAL vs AZ • vs Eduardo Rodriguez (L) • #3 • 12:35 PM ✗ MISS
L7: .208 (3/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 85°F · 5mph
1122 L10
Matchup vs Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitting 3rd in the order today. Alonso is averaging 95.0 mph exit velocity this season with a 55% hard-hit rate.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
2
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.64/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.2
K/9
9.0
H/9
7.2
Last 10 Games 4/10 with a hit
B
68.1
66% hit prob
TEX vs ATH • vs J.T. Ginn (R) • #1 • 9:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 1-game streak L7: .300 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 67°F · 9mph
221321 L10
Faces J.T. Ginn who carries a 5.14 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Nimmo's xBA (0.291) outpaces his actual average (0.245) by 45 points — positive regression is coming.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.12/35
Contact
11.5/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.14
WHIP
1.14
K/9
5.14
H/9
7.7
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
68.0
66% hit prob
CHC vs PHI • vs Jesús Luzardo (L) • #1 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .333 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 86°F · 14mph -16.2% edge
11231122 L10
BetRivers -360
BOL -526
Faces Jesús Luzardo who carries a 9.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Hoerner's xBA (0.296) outpaces his actual average (0.248) by 47 points — positive regression is coming.
3-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.02/35
Contact
7.5/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
3.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.0
WHIP
1.17
K/9
10.5
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
68.0
66% hit prob
TB vs CWS • vs Sean Burke (R) • #2 • 7:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .200 (4/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 73°F · 14mph -4.5% edge
2111112 L10
MGM -235
BetRivers -315
BOL -417
Caminero has a 12.0% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Sean Burke who carries a 6.75 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.04/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
2.0
K/9
11.25
H/9
15.8
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
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