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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 60-34 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 15-24 (38.5%) · S 6-5 (54.5%) · A 110-46 (70.5%) · B 1040-551 (65.4%)
← PREV 2026-05-12 NEXT → ▼ DOWNLOAD TODAY'S HOT BOARD Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Today's Locks
Picks locked 10:00 AM ET
Current Streak
🔥 0
Julio Rodríguez
Julio Rodríguez
SEASEA vs HOUHOU · vs Tatsuya Imai · 8:10 PM
Score
83.5
Prob
70%
Tier
A
✓ HIT
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCKC vs CWSCWS · vs Erick Fedde · 7:40 PM
Score
81.0
Prob
69%
Tier
A
Locked at 81.5 (A) · 10:00 AM ET
✓ HIT
Yesterday's Card
6-1 Record 85.7% Hit Rate 7 Picks
Player Score Tier Line Result
Cody Bellinger 81.7 A 0-for-2, 1K ✗ MISS
Aaron Judge 75.5 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Ben Rice 71.9 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Julio Rodríguez 71.8 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Luis Arraez 69.7 B 2-for-6 ✓ HIT
Kazuma Okamoto 69.1 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Ezequiel Duran 68.8 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
0
🔒 LOCKS
35
TOTAL PICKS
3
S/A TIER
76.9
TOP SCORE
25-8
Record
76%
Hit Rate
2
Pending
35
Total Picks
Today's Locks (2 locks)
🔒 LOCK
B
76.9
68% hit prob
ATL vs CHC • vs Colin Rea (R) • #3 • 7:15 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .308 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 75°F · 7mph
1121221 L10
Olson has a 15.4% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Quietly productive — Olson owns a 0.308 average across his last 7 starts. Faces Colin Rea who carries a 6.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
1-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.44/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.0
WHIP
1.33
K/9
12.0
H/9
12.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
76.8
68% hit prob
BAL vs NYY • vs Will Warren (R) • #5 • 6:35 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .360 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 68°F · 8mph
111311121 L10
Basallo is averaging 92.7 mph exit velocity this season with a 48% hard-hit rate. Basallo has a 12.1% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Draws Will Warren, who's giving up 11.0 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him.
2-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.8/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.08
WHIP
1.62
K/9
6.59
H/9
11.0
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
Additional picks
B
75.4
68% hit prob
CIN vs WSH • vs Miles Mikolas (R) • #2 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .250 (6/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 77°F · 7mph
111211111 L10
Faces Miles Mikolas who carries a 7.20 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
1-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.92/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
14.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
7.2
WHIP
1.8
K/9
7.2
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
73.6
67% hit prob
ATL vs CHC • vs Colin Rea (R) • #1 • 7:15 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .222 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 75°F · 7mph
1321111 L10
Baldwin is averaging 92.8 mph exit velocity this season with a 54% hard-hit rate. Baldwin has a 18.6% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Colin Rea who carries a 6.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.14/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.0
WHIP
1.33
K/9
12.0
H/9
12.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
73.5
67% hit prob
LAA vs CLE • vs Slade Cecconi (R) • #1 • 6:10 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 6-game streak L7: .250 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 64°F · 6mph
211111 L10
Neto is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.250 over his last 7. Faces Slade Cecconi who carries a 5.23 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
0-4
H-AB
2
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.5/35
Contact
14.0/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.23
WHIP
1.06
K/9
9.8
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
72.9
67% hit prob
PIT vs COL • vs Michael Lorenzen (R) • #1 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .241 (4/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 69°F · 6mph
1122131 L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Cruz is averaging 96.1 mph exit velocity this season with a 60% hard-hit rate. Cruz has a 16.7% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
3-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
26.94/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.23
WHIP
1.62
K/9
8.78
H/9
15.4
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
A
83.5
70% hit prob
SEA vs HOU • vs Tatsuya Imai (R) • #2 • 8:10 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .321 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 72°F
221112212 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Rodríguez is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.321 over his last 7. Faces Tatsuya Imai who carries a 13.50 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
0-5
H-AB
2
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
13.5
WHIP
2.63
K/9
16.36
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
A
81.0
69% hit prob
KC vs CWS • vs Erick Fedde (R) • #2 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .407 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 76°F · 21mph
111124112 L10
Jr. has hits in 4 straight, carrying a 0.407 average over his last 7. Jr.'s xBA (0.314) outpaces his actual average (0.280) by 33 points — positive regression is coming. Jr. has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 27 PAs) — elite contact window.
2-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.4
K/9
7.2
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
A
80.6
69% hit prob
ATH vs STL • vs Andre Pallante (R) • #2 • 9:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
L7: .429 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
231313212 L10
A 0.429 average in his last 7 — Langeliers's timing is locked in right now. Faces Andre Pallante (5.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
2-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.62/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.2
K/9
5.4
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
79.2
69% hit prob
TB vs TOR • vs Patrick Corbin (L) • #8 • 7:07 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .350 (6/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
1111121 L10
Fortes is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.350 over his last 7. Matchup vs Patrick Corbin (LHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
1-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.2/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
5.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
77.6
69% hit prob
MIL vs SD • vs Matt Waldron (R) • #3 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .222 (5/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
4411121 L10
Finding ways on — Contreras has 5 hit games out of his last 7. Faces Matt Waldron (RHP) on the mound today. Hitter-friendly park factor at American Family Field.
1-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.62/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
77.5
69% hit prob
TB vs TOR • vs Patrick Corbin (L) • #2 • 7:07 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .192 (4/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
1111211 L10
Caminero has a 12.0% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Matchup vs Patrick Corbin (LHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
2-6
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.54/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
76.0
68% hit prob
MIL vs SD • vs Matt Waldron (R) • #2 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .321 (6/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
222113112 L10
Matchup vs Matt Waldron (RHP) grades 14/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at American Family Field. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.02/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
75.6
68% hit prob
MIL vs SD • vs Matt Waldron (R) • #4 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .250 (5/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
21111121 L10
Bauers has a 12.2% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Matchup vs Matt Waldron (RHP) grades 14/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at American Family Field.
2-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.12/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
75.2
68% hit prob
KC vs CWS • vs Erick Fedde (R) • #1 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .360 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 76°F · 21mph
11122113 L10
Faces Erick Fedde who carries a 5.40 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Garcia is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.360 over his last 7.
1-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.7/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.4
K/9
7.2
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
74.5
68% hit prob
MIA vs MIN • vs Bailey Ober (R) • #3 • 7:40 PM projected ✗ MISS
L7: .357 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 70°F · 22mph
322111232 L10
Lopez has only struck out at a 7% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 28 PAs) — elite contact window. A 0.357 average in his last 7 — Lopez's timing is locked in right now. Faces Bailey Ober who carries a 6.75 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
1.25
K/9
2.25
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
71.7
67% hit prob
CIN vs WSH • vs Miles Mikolas (R) • #4 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .214 (6/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 77°F · 7mph
111111 L10
Stewart has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games. Faces Miles Mikolas who carries a 7.20 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park.
3-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.22/35
Contact
11.5/20
Pitcher
14.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
7.2
WHIP
1.8
K/9
7.2
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
71.2
66% hit prob
AZ vs TEX • vs MacKenzie Gore (L) • #5 • 8:05 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
L7: .143 (4/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
411111 L10
Hitter-friendly park factor at Globe Life Field. Vargas has been getting on base, with hits in 4 of 7 recent games. Goes up against MacKenzie Gore (3.38 ERA) today.
2-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.24/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
12.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.38
WHIP
0.94
K/9
12.35
H/9
3.5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
71.0
66% hit prob
TOR vs TB • vs Shane McClanahan (L) • #4 • 7:07 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 10-game streak L7: .308 (7/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
2211211111 L10
Hitting 4th in the order today. Okamoto is scorching — 10 straight games with a hit and a 0.308 L7 average. Okamoto is averaging 92.7 mph exit velocity this season with a 53% hard-hit rate.
0-4
H-AB
2
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.5/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
3.0/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.86
WHIP
1.07
K/9
8.57
H/9
4.3
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
B
70.9
66% hit prob
TB vs TOR • vs Patrick Corbin (L) • #4 • 7:07 PM projected ✗ MISS
L7: .179 (4/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
1211121 L10
Díaz's 45.3% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Matchup vs Patrick Corbin (LHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitting 4th in the order today.
0-5
H-AB
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.44/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
70.9
66% hit prob
TEX vs AZ • vs Zac Gallen (R) • #2 • 8:05 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .308 (6/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
11311111 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Duran is outperforming his xBA by 43 points (0.299 AVG vs 0.255 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Duran is hitting 0.308 over his last 7 (6/7 with a hit).
2-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.42/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.1
K/9
3.6
H/9
8.1
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.6
66% hit prob
LAD vs SF • vs Adrian Houser (R) • #7 • 10:10 PM projected ✗ MISS
L7: .357 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
11113321 L10
Pages has only struck out at a 7% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 28 PAs) — elite contact window. Pages's 48.0% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Pages is swinging a 0.357 bat over his last 7 games (5/7 with a hit).
0-3
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.64/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
6.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
1.5
K/9
7.06
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.4
66% hit prob
ATH vs STL • vs Andre Pallante (R) • #1 • 9:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .321 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
12112122 L10
Kurtz is averaging 94.2 mph exit velocity this season with a 58% hard-hit rate. Kurtz has a 18.3% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. 6 hits in 7 games and a 0.321 clip — Kurtz is seeing it well.
1-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.42/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
13.0/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.2
K/9
5.4
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.1
66% hit prob
SEA vs HOU • vs Tatsuya Imai (R) • #3 • 8:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .393 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 72°F
111221312 L10
Naylor is swinging a 0.393 bat over his last 7 games (6/7 with a hit). Faces Tatsuya Imai who carries a 13.50 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
1-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.62/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
13.5
WHIP
2.63
K/9
16.36
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
69.9
66% hit prob
CIN vs WSH • vs Miles Mikolas (R) • #5 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .222 (5/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 77°F · 7mph
2111211 L10
Bleday has a 14.8% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Miles Mikolas who carries a 7.20 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park.
2-3
H-AB
2
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
25.94/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
7.2
WHIP
1.8
K/9
7.2
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
69.9
66% hit prob
LAD vs SF • vs Adrian Houser (R) • #3 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .280 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
21221112 L10
Freeman is hitting 0.280 over his last 7 (5/7 with a hit). Draws Adrian Houser, who's giving up 12.3 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
1-2
H-AB
2
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.44/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
1.5
K/9
7.06
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.7
66% hit prob
CIN vs WSH • vs Miles Mikolas (R) • #3 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .367 (5/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 77°F · 7mph
131223 L10
Faces Miles Mikolas who carries a 7.20 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
2-5
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.22/35
Contact
9.5/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
7.2
WHIP
1.8
K/9
7.2
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
69.3
66% hit prob
MIN vs MIA • vs Eury Pérez (R) • #1 • 7:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .258 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 70°F · 22mph
32111321 L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Buxton is outperforming his xBA by 30 points (0.259 AVG vs 0.229 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Buxton's 47.3% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
0-3
H-AB
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.32/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.86
WHIP
0.86
K/9
10.29
H/9
6.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.0
66% hit prob
TB vs TOR • vs Patrick Corbin (L) • #1 • 7:07 PM projected
🔥 2-game streak L7: .385 (6/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
11121213 L10
Matchup vs Patrick Corbin (LHP) grades 14/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Simpson has only struck out at a 8% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 26 PAs) — elite contact window.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.02/35
Contact
3.0/20
Pitcher
14.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.0
66% hit prob
SEA vs HOU • vs Tatsuya Imai (R) • #5 • 8:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 4H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .346 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 72°F
1113112 L10
Arozarena is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.346 over his last 7. Arozarena is outperforming his xBA by 36 points (0.299 AVG vs 0.262 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Faces Tatsuya Imai who carries a 13.50 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
4-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.5/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
13.5
WHIP
2.63
K/9
16.36
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
69.0
66% hit prob
ATH vs STL • vs Andre Pallante (R) • #5 • 9:40 PM projected
🔥 1-game streak L7: .269 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
212111121 L10
Wilson has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games. Faces Andre Pallante (5.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
9.5/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.2
K/9
5.4
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
68.9
66% hit prob
MIA vs MIN • vs Bailey Ober (R) • #1 • 7:40 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .250 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 70°F · 22mph
121111111 L10
Faces Bailey Ober who carries a 6.75 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Edwards has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.42/35
Contact
4.5/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
1.25
K/9
2.25
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
68.3
66% hit prob
STL vs ATH • vs Jeffrey Springs (L) • #4 • 9:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .217 (4/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
2421211 L10
Walker is averaging 94.4 mph exit velocity this season with a 53% hard-hit rate. Walker has a 14.6% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Jeffrey Springs (1.50 WHIP) — he's been putting baserunners on all season.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.84/35
Contact
15.0/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.38
WHIP
1.5
K/9
3.53
H/9
8.8
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
68.3
66% hit prob
LAD vs SF • vs Adrian Houser (R) • #4 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .333 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
1121211 L10
Tucker is hitting 0.333 over his last 7 (5/7 with a hit). Draws Adrian Houser, who's giving up 12.3 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Hitting 4th in the order today.
1-2
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.34/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
1.5
K/9
7.06
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
68.1
66% hit prob
ATL vs CHC • vs Colin Rea (R) • #4 • 7:15 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .269 (4/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 75°F · 7mph
111411 L10
Faces Colin Rea who carries a 6.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitting 4th in the order today. II is averaging 93.3 mph exit velocity this season with a 54% hard-hit rate.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.14/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.0
WHIP
1.33
K/9
12.0
H/9
12.0
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
Power Plays
11 LOCK picks today — extra-base hit props
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