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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 60-34 (63.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 15-24 (38.5%) · S 6-5 (54.5%) · A 110-46 (70.5%) · B 1040-551 (65.4%)
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Today's Locks
Picks locked 10:00 AM ET
Current Streak
🔥 2
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBTB vs BALBAL · vs Shane Baz · 6:35 PM
Score
84.5
Prob
70%
Tier
A
✓ HIT
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILMIL vs STLSTL · vs Michael McGreevy · 7:40 PM
Score
80.6
Prob
69%
Tier
A
✓ HIT
Yesterday's Card
12-12 Record 50.0% Hit Rate 24 Picks
Player Score Tier Line Result
William Contreras 88.1 S 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
Corbin Carroll 81.6 A 2-for-5 ✓ HIT
Ketel Marte 81.2 A 4-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Bobby Witt Jr. 81.0 A 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Junior Caminero 81.0 A 1-for-6, 2K ✓ HIT
Shohei Ohtani 80.4 A 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Maikel Garcia 79.3 B 1-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Carlos Cortes 76.4 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Alec Burleson 76.1 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Nick Kurtz 76.0 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Miguel Vargas 75.7 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Iván Herrera 75.0 B 0-for-4, 3K ✗ MISS
Isaac Paredes 74.2 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Brice Turang 73.2 B 0-for-3, 3K ✗ MISS
Byron Buxton 73.0 B 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
Alejandro Osuna 72.9 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Julio Rodríguez 72.7 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Teoscar Hernández 71.9 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Yandy Díaz 71.6 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Brandon Nimmo 71.1 B 0-for-2, 1K ✗ MISS
Jackson Chourio 69.9 B 0-for-3, 2K ✗ MISS
Jeremy Peña 69.4 B 1-for-2 ✓ HIT
Jordan Walker 69.4 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Nolan Arenado 68.4 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
0
🔒 LOCKS
31
TOTAL PICKS
2
S/A TIER
84.5
TOP SCORE
21-10
Record
68%
Hit Rate
0
Pending
31
Total Picks
Today's Locks (3 locks)
🔒 LOCK
A
84.5
70% hit prob
TB vs BAL • vs Shane Baz (R) • #2 • 6:35 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 8-game streak L7: .346 (7/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 75°F · 5mph
121212111 L10
Caminero has a 12.0% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Shane Baz who carries a 6.75 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
1-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
1.31
K/9
7.06
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
78.1
69% hit prob
TB vs BAL • vs Shane Baz (R) • #4 • 6:35 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .407 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 75°F · 5mph
21114221 L10
Hitting 4th in the order today. Díaz is outperforming his xBA by 37 points (0.325 AVG vs 0.288 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Díaz has only struck out at a 7% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 27 PAs) — elite contact window.
1-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.12/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
1.31
K/9
7.06
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
76.1
68% hit prob
PIT vs CHC • vs Jordan Wicks (L) • #2 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .370 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 78°F · 5mph
21212212 L10
A 0.370 average in his last 7 — Lowe's timing is locked in right now. Matchup vs Jordan Wicks (LHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.12/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
18.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
Additional picks
B
75.5
68% hit prob
DET vs LAA • vs Jack Kochanowicz (R) • #1 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .231 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 71°F · 8mph
21111111 L10
Faces Jack Kochanowicz who carries a 11.25 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. McGonigle has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
3-4
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.02/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
11.25
WHIP
2.25
K/9
6.75
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
73.5
67% hit prob
MIN vs CWS • vs Sean Burke (R) • #1 • 7:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 3-game streak L7: .286 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 73°F · 7mph
32122211 L10
Buxton has hits in 3 straight, carrying a 0.286 average over his last 7. Buxton is outperforming his xBA by 30 points (0.259 AVG vs 0.229 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Buxton's 47.3% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.52/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
8.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
2.0
K/9
11.25
H/9
15.8
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
73.4
67% hit prob
PIT vs CHC • vs Jordan Wicks (L) • #3 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .240 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 78°F · 5mph
2211211 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Reynolds has been getting on base, with hits in 5 of 7 recent games. Matchup vs Jordan Wicks (LHP) grades 19/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
2-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
25.94/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
19.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
73.1
67% hit prob
BOS vs ATL • vs Spencer Strider (R) • #4 • 6:45 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 8-game streak L7: .444 (7/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 80°F · 9mph
121123122 L10
Contreras has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 27 PAs) — elite contact window. Contreras has a 14.2% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Spencer Strider (RHP) on the mound today.
2-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.1/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
3.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
72.1
67% hit prob
PIT vs CHC • vs Jordan Wicks (L) • #8 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .333 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 78°F · 5mph
121111112 L10
Horwitz is outperforming his xBA by 48 points (0.286 AVG vs 0.237 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Horwitz has only struck out at a 10% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 21 PAs) — elite contact window. Horwitz has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
2-3
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.62/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
18.0/20
Lineup
2.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
A
80.6
69% hit prob
MIL vs STL • vs Michael McGreevy (R) • #3 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 9-game streak L7: .433 (7/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
112213311 L10
Contreras has only struck out at a 10% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 30 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Michael McGreevy (RHP) on the mound today. Hitter-friendly park factor at American Family Field.
2-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.6/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
5.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.33
K/9
7.5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
78.4
69% hit prob
LAD vs COL • vs Kyle Freeland (L) • #1 • 10:10 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 1-game streak L7: .375 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
123221121 L10
Ohtani has a 15.8% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Ohtani is swinging a 0.375 bat over his last 7 games (6/7 with a hit). Draws Kyle Freeland, who's giving up 9.9 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him.
0-2
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.92/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.89
WHIP
1.39
K/9
7.91
H/9
9.9
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
72.9
67% hit prob
HOU vs TEX • vs Jack Leiter (R) • #1 • 8:05 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .231 (5/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
11121111 L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Peña's xBA (0.314) outpaces his actual average (0.280) by 33 points — positive regression is coming. Goes up against Jack Leiter (2.45 ERA) today.
1-4
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.42/35
Contact
9.5/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.45
WHIP
1.0
K/9
13.91
H/9
7.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
72.2
67% hit prob
SEA vs ATH • vs Luis Severino (R) • #2 • 9:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .321 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
1112221 L10
Faces Luis Severino who carries a 6.48 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Rodríguez has only struck out at a 7% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 28 PAs) — elite contact window.
1-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.22/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.48
WHIP
1.8
K/9
11.11
H/9
7.8
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
71.9
67% hit prob
LAD vs COL • vs Kyle Freeland (L) • #6 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .333 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
211111311 L10
Draws Kyle Freeland, who's giving up 9.9 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Hernández is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.333 over his last 7. Hernández's 45.3% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
1-3
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.9/35
Contact
7.5/20
Pitcher
16.5/20
Lineup
6.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.89
WHIP
1.39
K/9
7.91
H/9
9.9
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
71.0
66% hit prob
SD vs PHI • vs Aaron Nola (R) • #2 • 9:40 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 2-game streak L7: .231 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
21121111 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Andujar has only struck out at a 8% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 26 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Aaron Nola who carries a 5.40 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.04/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
12.0/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.4
K/9
12.6
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.8
66% hit prob
BOS vs ATL • vs Spencer Strider (R) • #2 • 6:45 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .250 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 80°F · 9mph
12112111 L10
Faces Spencer Strider (RHP) on the mound today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Rafaela is outperforming his xBA by 38 points (0.276 AVG vs 0.238 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them.
1-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.32/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
3.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.7
66% hit prob
HOU vs TEX • vs Jack Leiter (R) • #4 • 8:05 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .276 (5/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
121311 L10
Hitting 4th in the order today. Walker's 46.6% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Walker has a 13.2% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
0-4
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.22/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.45
WHIP
1.0
K/9
13.91
H/9
7.4
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
70.5
66% hit prob
STL vs MIL • vs Kyle Harrison (L) • #3 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .360 (6/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
21121221 L10
Goes up against Kyle Harrison (2.61 ERA) today. Hitter-friendly park factor at American Family Field. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.02/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
8.0/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.61
WHIP
0.97
K/9
12.48
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.0
66% hit prob
NYY vs KC • vs Bailey Falter (L) • #4 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .333 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 83°F · 8mph
11211211 L10
Hitting 4th in the order today. Bellinger has hits in 3 straight, carrying a 0.333 average over his last 7. Bellinger has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
2-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.52/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
13.5
WHIP
3.0
K/9
11.61
H/9
23.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.0
66% hit prob
KC vs NYY • vs Cam Schlittler (R) • #1 • 7:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .258 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 83°F · 8mph
11112121 L10
Faces Cam Schlittler (RHP) on the mound today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Garcia has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.02/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
2.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.26
K/9
12.05
H/9
2.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.0
66% hit prob
KC vs NYY • vs Cam Schlittler (R) • #2 • 7:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .241 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 83°F · 8mph
21111211 L10
Faces Cam Schlittler (RHP) on the mound today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Jr.'s xBA (0.314) outpaces his actual average (0.280) by 33 points — positive regression is coming.
1-3
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
2.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.26
K/9
12.05
H/9
2.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.8
66% hit prob
HOU vs TEX • vs Jack Leiter (R) • #2 • 8:05 PM projected ✗ MISS
L7: .222 (5/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
111112 L10
Goes up against Jack Leiter (2.45 ERA) today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Globe Life Field. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
0-4
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.84/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.45
WHIP
1.0
K/9
13.91
H/9
7.4
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
69.8
66% hit prob
LAD vs COL • vs Kyle Freeland (L) • #4 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 4H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .192 (4/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
1111112 L10
Pages's 48.0% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Draws Kyle Freeland, who's giving up 9.9 H/9 — hitters are teeing off on him. Hitting 4th in the order today.
4-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
25.34/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
16.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.89
WHIP
1.39
K/9
7.91
H/9
9.9
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
69.7
66% hit prob
STL vs MIL • vs Kyle Harrison (L) • #2 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .241 (5/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
11111221 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Herrera has been getting on base, with hits in 5 of 7 recent games. Goes up against Kyle Harrison (2.61 ERA) today.
1-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.74/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
8.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.61
WHIP
0.97
K/9
12.48
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.6
66% hit prob
ATH vs SEA • vs Emerson Hancock (R) • #1 • 9:40 PM projected ✗ MISS
L7: .318 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
2111112 L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. 6 hits in 7 games and a 0.318 clip — Cortes is seeing it well. Faces Emerson Hancock (RHP) on the mound today.
0-2
H-AB
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.12/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.17
K/9
13.5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
69.5
66% hit prob
STL vs MIL • vs Kyle Harrison (L) • #4 • 7:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .231 (4/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
2311113 L10
Goes up against Kyle Harrison (2.61 ERA) today. Hitter-friendly park factor at American Family Field. Hitting 4th in the order today.
1-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.04/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
8.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.61
WHIP
0.97
K/9
12.48
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
69.3
66% hit prob
SF vs AZ • vs Eduardo Rodriguez (L) • #4 • 9:45 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .250 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
2121121 L10
Devers's 49.4% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Faces Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) on the mound today. Hitting 4th in the order today.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.32/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
12.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.2
K/9
9.0
H/9
7.2
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
69.0
66% hit prob
CLE vs WSH • vs Cade Cavalli (R) • #2 • 6:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .148 (4/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 74°F · 3mph
2131111 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Ramírez's xBA (0.287) outpaces his actual average (0.238) by 48 points — positive regression is coming. Matchup vs Cade Cavalli (RHP) grades 14/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
1-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
25.54/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.79
WHIP
1.34
K/9
7.83
H/9
7.8
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
69.0
66% hit prob
DET vs LAA • vs Jack Kochanowicz (R) • #3 • 6:40 PM ✗ MISS
L7: .250 (4/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 71°F · 8mph
112211 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Greene is outperforming his xBA by 41 points (0.305 AVG vs 0.263 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Greene's 50.0% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
0-3
H-AB
2
K
2
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.46/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
11.25
WHIP
2.25
K/9
6.75
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
68.7
66% hit prob
STL vs MIL • vs Kyle Harrison (L) • #1 • 7:40 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 3-game streak L7: .250 (5/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
222111 L10
Hitter-friendly park factor at American Family Field. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Wetherholt's 47.4% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.72/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
8.0/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.61
WHIP
0.97
K/9
12.48
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
68.7
66% hit prob
ATH vs SEA • vs Emerson Hancock (R) • #2 • 9:40 PM projected ✗ MISS
L7: .417 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
1311122 L10
Kurtz is averaging 94.2 mph exit velocity this season with a 58% hard-hit rate. Kurtz has a 18.3% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Kurtz's last 7 games: 0.417 AVG with 6 games producing a hit.
0-4
H-AB
3
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.72/35
Contact
13.5/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.17
K/9
13.5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
68.1
66% hit prob
TEX vs HOU • vs Jason Alexander (R) • #3 • 8:05 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .222 (4/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
121131 L10
Jung has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 27 PAs) — elite contact window. Jung's 45.7% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Matchup vs Jason Alexander (RHP) grades 15/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
1-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.62/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
15.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
Power Plays
11 LOCK picks today — extra-base hit props
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