MIA vs TEX
• vs Kumar Rocker (R)
• #2
• 6:40 PM
✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 3-game streakL7: .192 (5/7 H)🏟 Neutral · 72°F
21211111L10
Lopez is outperforming his xBA by 40 points (0.330 AVG vs 0.290 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Lopez has only struck out at a 8% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 26 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Kumar Rocker (RHP) on the mound today.
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Burleson's 48.7% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Burleson has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
TB vs KC
• vs Michael Wacha (R)
• #1
• 6:40 PM
✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 5-game streakL7: .333 (5/7 H)🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
3112222L10
Díaz's 48.3% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Faces Michael Wacha (RHP) on the mound today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
Faces Andre Pallante (5.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Marte's xBA (0.293) outpaces his actual average (0.258) by 34 points — positive regression is coming.
KC vs TB
• vs Drew Rasmussen (R)
• #1
• 6:40 PM
✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 10-game streakL7: .448 (7/7 H)🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
1112114212L10
Jensen has only struck out at a 10% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 29 PAs) — elite contact window. Goes up against Drew Rasmussen (1.80 ERA) today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
Hitting 4th in the order today. Bell is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.462 L7 average. Bell has only struck out at a 12% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 26 PAs) — elite contact window.
Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Chourio is outperforming his xBA by 25 points (0.276 AVG vs 0.251 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them.
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Crow-Armstrong is scorching — 10 straight games with a hit and a 0.552 L7 average. Crow-Armstrong's 48.6% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Ohtani is averaging 93.6 mph exit velocity this season with a 52% hard-hit rate. Ohtani has a 17.1% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
BAL vs LAA
• vs Sam Aldegheri (L)
• #1
• 9:38 PM
projected✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 3-game streakL7: .226 (6/7 H)⚾ Pitcher+
11111112L10
Ward has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games. Matchup vs Sam Aldegheri (LHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
COL vs BOS
• vs Jake Bennett (L)
• #1
• 8:40 PM
projected✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 10-game streakL7: .367 (7/7 H)⚾ Hitter+
2111131122L10
McCarthy is outperforming his xBA by 38 points (0.300 AVG vs 0.261 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Faces Jake Bennett (LHP) on the mound today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field.
Matchup vs Zebby Matthews (RHP) grades 17/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitting 4th in the order today. Betts has hits in 4 straight, carrying a 0.333 average over his last 7.
Pages has recorded a hit in 4 of his last 7 games. Matchup vs Zebby Matthews (RHP) grades 17/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
SD vs ATL
• vs Grant Holmes (R)
• #5
• 10:10 PM
projected✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streakL7: .346 (5/7 H)⚾ Pitcher+
21121321L10
Jr. has only struck out at a 12% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 26 PAs) — elite contact window. Jr.'s 52.6% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. 5 hits in 7 games and a 0.346 clip — Jr. is seeing it well.
Freeman's 45.1% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Matchup vs Zebby Matthews (RHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
Buxton has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games. Faces Eric Lauer (4.91 ERA) — a plus matchup by the model. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
TEX vs MIA
• vs Tyler Phillips (R)
• #3
• 6:40 PM
✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streakL7: .333 (5/7 H)🏟 Neutral · 72°F
1112222L10
Jung has hits in 4 straight, carrying a 0.333 average over his last 7. Jung's 48.3% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Faces Tyler Phillips (RHP) on the mound today.
MIA vs TEX
• vs Kumar Rocker (R)
• #1
• 6:40 PM
✗ MISS
🔥 2-game streakL7: .259 (6/7 H)🏟 Neutral · 72°F
12211111L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Hernández's 49.7% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Hernández has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
TEX vs MIA
• vs Tyler Phillips (R)
• #2
• 6:40 PM
✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streakL7: .393 (6/7 H)🏟 Neutral · 72°F
23112322L10
Faces Tyler Phillips (RHP) on the mound today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Langford is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.393 over his last 7.
Larnach is outperforming his xBA by 26 points (0.294 AVG vs 0.267 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Larnach has only struck out at a 4% clip over his last 7 games (1 Ks in 27 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Eric Lauer (4.91 ERA) — a plus matchup by the model.
A 0.375 average in his last 7 — Contreras's timing is locked in right now. Faces Brady Singer who carries a 6.75 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park.
ATL vs SD
• vs Michael King (R)
• #5
• 10:10 PM
projected✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 6-game streakL7: .240 (6/7 H)⚾ Pitcher+
213111111L10
II has a 12.9% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Michael King (RHP) on the mound today. II is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.240 over his last 7.
TB vs KC
• vs Michael Wacha (R)
• #4
• 6:40 PM
✗ MISS
L7: .346 (5/7 H)🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
1112123L10
Quietly productive — Caminero owns a 0.346 average across his last 7 starts. Faces Michael Wacha (RHP) on the mound today. Hitting 4th in the order today.
COL vs BOS
• vs Jake Bennett (L)
• #3
• 8:40 PM
projected✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 5-game streakL7: .286 (6/7 H)⚾ Hitter+
122211211L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Rumfield is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.286 over his last 7. Rumfield is outperforming his xBA by 53 points (0.304 AVG vs 0.250 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them.
Soto is averaging 92.6 mph exit velocity this season with a 48% hard-hit rate. Soto has a 14.9% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Shota Imanaga (4.50 ERA) — a plus matchup by the model.
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Herrera has been getting on base, with hits in 3 of 7 recent games. Faces Merrill Kelly (RHP) on the mound today.
BAL vs LAA
• vs Sam Aldegheri (L)
• #2
• 9:38 PM
projected✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 1-game streakL7: .214 (4/7 H)⚾ Pitcher+
32112L10
Matchup vs Sam Aldegheri (LHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Finding ways on — Henderson has 4 hit games out of his last 7.