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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 89-52 (63.1%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 23-32 (41.8%) · S 8-5 (61.5%) · A 164-73 (69.2%) · B 1705-896 (65.6%)
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Today's Locks
Picks locked 10:00 AM ET
Current Streak
🔥 1
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCKC vs TBTB · vs Casey Legumina · 12:10 PM
Score
87.5
Prob
74%
Tier
A
✓ HIT
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLSTL vs AZAZ · vs Zac Gallen · 7:45 PM
Score
85.0
Prob
70%
Tier
A
▲ Locked at 81.0 (A) · 10:00 AM ET
✓ HIT
Yesterday's Card
15-13 Record 53.6% Hit Rate 28 Picks
▼
Player Score Tier Line Result
Ketel Marte 83.7 A 2-for-5 ✓ HIT
Wilyer Abreu 78.9 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Michael Harris II 78.1 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Fernando Tatis Jr. 77.9 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Carter Jensen 77.0 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Gabriel Moreno 76.4 B 1-for-2 ✓ HIT
William Contreras 76.0 B 3-for-3 ✓ HIT
Zach Neto 75.9 B 0-for-1, 1K ✗ MISS
Brandon Nimmo 75.8 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Pete Crow-Armstrong 74.5 B 1-for-5, 2K ✓ HIT
Pete Crow-Armstrong 74.5 B 1-for-4, 3K ✓ HIT
Ceddanne Rafaela 74.4 B 3-for-5, 2K ✓ HIT
CJ Abrams 74.4 B 1-for-2 ✓ HIT
Nolan Schanuel 72.7 B 0-for-4 ✗ MISS
Mauricio Dubón 72.6 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Bryan Reynolds 72.5 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
George Springer 72.2 B 0-for-4, 2K ✗ MISS
Yordan Alvarez 72.1 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Jackson Chourio 72.0 B 2-for-5 ✓ HIT
Caleb Durbin 71.2 B 0-for-2 ✗ MISS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 70.7 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Corbin Carroll 70.5 B 1-for-5, 2K ✓ HIT
Otto Lopez 70.4 B 2-for-3 ✓ HIT
Donovan Walton 70.3 B 1-for-5, 2K ✓ HIT
Willson Contreras 70.0 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Kyle Schwarber 70.0 B — ✗ MISS
Brandon Lowe 69.5 B 1-for-5 ✓ HIT
Junior Caminero 69.1 B 0-for-2, 2K ✗ MISS
Byron Buxton 68.5 B 0-for-5, 2K ✗ MISS
0
🔒 LOCKS
12
TOTAL PICKS
2
S/A TIER
87.5
TOP SCORE
8-2
Record
80%
Hit Rate
2
Pending
12
Total Picks
Today's Locks (2 locks)
🔒 LOCK
A
Carter Jensen

Carter Jensen
87.5
74% hit prob
KC vs TB • vs Casey Legumina (R) • #1 • 12:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 10-game streak L7: .429 (7/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
2114212111 L10
Jensen has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 28 PAs) — elite contact window. Matchup vs Casey Legumina (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.71
K/9
6.92
H/9
5.2
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
A
Alec Burleson

Alec Burleson
85.0
70% hit prob
STL vs AZ • vs Zac Gallen (R) • #3 • 7:45 PM
🔥 5-game streak L7: .320 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 85°F · 5mph
111113111 L10
Burleson's 48.7% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Faces Zac Gallen (3.6 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
11.5/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.1
K/9
3.6
H/9
8.1
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
Additional picks
B
Kevin McGonigle

Kevin McGonigle
73.8
68% hit prob
DET vs HOU • vs Tatsuya Imai (R) • #1 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .286 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 71°F · 13mph
121111122 L10
Faces Tatsuya Imai who carries a 13.50 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. McGonigle has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 28 PAs) — elite contact window.
1-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.82/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
14.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
1.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
13.5
WHIP
2.63
K/9
16.36
H/9
12.3
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Bryan Reynolds

Bryan Reynolds
73.5
67% hit prob
PIT vs SEA • vs Bryce Miller (R) • #3 • 12:35 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 10-game streak L7: .481 (7/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 75°F · 11mph
1214211212 L10
Reynolds is scorching — 10 straight games with a hit and a 0.481 L7 average. Reynolds's 47.3% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Faces Bryce Miller (RHP) on the mound today.
1-3
H-AB
2
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
5.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
B
Pete Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-Armstrong
72.5
67% hit prob
CHC vs NYM • vs Freddy Peralta (R) • #1 • 7:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 10-game streak L7: .357 (7/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
3241132111 L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Crow-Armstrong is scorching — 10 straight games with a hit and a 0.357 L7 average. Crow-Armstrong's 48.6% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
2-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
5.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.35
WHIP
1.06
K/9
12.48
H/9
8.0
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
B
Jac Caglianone

Jac Caglianone
71.4
67% hit prob
KC vs TB • vs Casey Legumina (R) • #3 • 12:10 PM ✗ MISS
L7: .300 (5/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
1211223 L10
Caglianone has a 14.7% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Caglianone is hitting 0.300 over his last 7 (5/7 with a hit). Matchup vs Casey Legumina (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
0-4
H-AB
3
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
26.44/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.71
K/9
6.92
H/9
5.2
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Kyle Schwarber

Kyle Schwarber
70.3
66% hit prob
PHI vs WSH • vs Cade Cavalli (R) • #2 • 6:45 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
L7: .304 (4/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 85°F · 14mph
3111141 L10
Schwarber has a 19.3% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Quietly productive — Schwarber owns a 0.304 average across his last 7 starts. Goes up against Cade Cavalli (2.79 ERA) today.
2-4
H-AB
2
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.34/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.79
WHIP
1.34
K/9
7.83
H/9
7.8
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Jonathan Aranda

Jonathan Aranda
69.0
66% hit prob
TB vs KC • vs Seth Lugo (R) • #2 • 12:10 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 7-game streak L7: .370 (7/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
222111122 L10
Faces Seth Lugo (4.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Aranda is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.370 L7 average.
3-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
9.5/20
Pitcher
8.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.79
K/9
4.43
H/9
7.4
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Brandon Nimmo

Brandon Nimmo
68.5
66% hit prob
TEX vs TOR • vs Kevin Gausman (R) • #4 • 7:07 PM ✗ MISS
L7: .355 (6/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
22122132 L10
Goes up against Kevin Gausman (0.75 ERA) today. Hitting 4th in the order today. Nimmo's xBA (0.293) outpaces his actual average (0.266) by 26 points — positive regression is coming.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.02/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
6.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
0.75
WHIP
0.25
K/9
15.75
H/9
2.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Junior Caminero

Junior Caminero
68.4
66% hit prob
TB vs KC • vs Seth Lugo (R) • #3 • 12:10 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
L7: .346 (4/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
121233 L10
Quietly productive — Caminero owns a 0.346 average across his last 7 starts. Faces Seth Lugo (4.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
3-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
26.86/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
8.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.79
K/9
4.43
H/9
7.4
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor
68.3
66% hit prob
SEA vs PIT • vs Bubba Chandler (R) • #4 • 12:35 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .308 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 75°F · 11mph
1111122 L10
Naylor is hitting 0.308 over his last 7 (6/7 with a hit). Faces Bubba Chandler (RHP) on the mound today. Hitting 4th in the order today.
1-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.32/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
9.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.38
K/9
13.17
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Masyn Winn

Masyn Winn
68.1
66% hit prob
STL vs AZ • vs Zac Gallen (R) • #6 • 7:45 PM
🔥 8-game streak L7: .357 (7/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 85°F · 5mph
21131211 L10
Winn has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 28 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Zac Gallen (3.6 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Winn is scorching — 8 straight games with a hit and a 0.357 L7 average.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.6/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.1
K/9
3.6
H/9
8.1
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
Power Plays
10 LOCK picks today — extra-base hit props
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