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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 89-52 (63.1%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 23-32 (41.8%) · S 8-5 (61.5%) · A 164-73 (69.2%) · B 1705-896 (65.6%)
← PREV 2026-07-04 NEXT → ▼ DOWNLOAD TODAY'S HOT BOARD Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Today's Locks
Picks locked 10:00 AM ET
Current Streak
🔥 0
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETDET vs TEXTEX · vs Kumar Rocker · 4:05 PM
Score
82.3
Prob
69%
Tier
A
✗ MISS
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFSF vs COLCOL · vs Tomoyuki Sugano · 8:10 PM
Score
80.1
Prob
69%
Tier
A
✓ HIT
Yesterday's Card
16-10 Record 61.5% Hit Rate 26 Picks
Player Score Tier Line Result
Trent Grisham 81.2 A 2-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
Rafael Devers 79.6 B 2-for-4 ✓ HIT
Liam Hicks 78.1 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Chase DeLauter 77.9 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Yandy Díaz 76.3 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Josh Bell 75.9 B 0-for-3, 2K ✗ MISS
Sal Stewart 75.5 B 0-for-4, 2K ✗ MISS
Junior Caminero 74.6 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Mookie Betts 74.4 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Brooks Lee 74.3 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Elly De La Cruz 74.2 B 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
Jonathan Aranda 73.5 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Luis García Jr. 73.1 B 2-for-4 ✓ HIT
Otto Lopez 72.5 B 2-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Freddie Freeman 72.2 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Willson Contreras 71.1 B 2-for-4 ✓ HIT
Shohei Ohtani 69.9 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Jackson Chourio 69.9 B 1-for-6, 3K ✓ HIT
Kody Clemens 69.5 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Seiya Suzuki 69.5 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Alec Burleson 69.0 B 2-for-5 ✓ HIT
Carson Benge 69.0 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Mauricio Dubón 68.8 B 0-for-2, 1K ✗ MISS
Heliot Ramos 68.2 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Luis Arraez 68.1 B 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
Shea Langeliers 68.0 B 0-for-2, 2K ✗ MISS
0
🔒 LOCKS
31
TOTAL PICKS
2
S/A TIER
82.3
TOP SCORE
22-8
Record
73%
Hit Rate
1
Pending
31
Total Picks
Today's Locks (3 locks)
🔒 LOCK
A
82.3
69% hit prob
DET vs TEX • vs Kumar Rocker (R) • #1 • 4:05 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .308 (6/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
21112112 L10
McGonigle has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games. Matchup vs Kumar Rocker (RHP) grades 14/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Globe Life Field.
0-3
H-AB
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.32/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
79.7
69% hit prob
CIN vs BAL • vs Brandon Young (R) • #1 • 7:10 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .276 (6/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 87°F · 5mph
1112211 L10
Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Cruz is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.276 over his last 7.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.2/35
Contact
17.0/20
Pitcher
14.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
5.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
77.7
69% hit prob
DET vs TEX • vs Kumar Rocker (R) • #2 • 4:05 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .276 (5/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
3111222 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Dingler's 47.0% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Faces Kumar Rocker (RHP) on the mound today.
0-3
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.72/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
Additional picks
B
75.5
68% hit prob
PIT vs WSH • vs Zack Littell (R) • #1 • 11:05 AM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .312 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 93°F · 5mph
112221212 L10
Griffin is outperforming his xBA by 36 points (0.276 AVG vs 0.240 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Quietly productive — Griffin owns a 0.312 average across his last 7 starts. Faces Zack Littell who carries a 5.40 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
1-5
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.52/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.6
K/9
1.8
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
75.1
68% hit prob
MIN vs NYY • vs Brendan Beck (R) • #3 • 1:35 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .276 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 95°F · 10mph
111212 L10
Clemens is averaging 92.6 mph exit velocity this season with a 46% hard-hit rate. Clemens has a 12.6% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Clemens has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.12/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
3.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
72.9
67% hit prob
CIN vs BAL • vs Brandon Young (R) • #2 • 7:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .300 (6/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 87°F · 5mph
21221211 L10
Quietly productive — Stewart owns a 0.300 average across his last 7 starts. Faces Brandon Young (RHP) on the mound today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park.
1-4
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.42/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
5.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
72.6
67% hit prob
MIN vs NYY • vs Brendan Beck (R) • #4 • 1:35 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
L7: .200 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 95°F · 10mph
111111 L10
Bell has recorded a hit in 5 of his last 7 games. Matchup vs Brendan Beck (RHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitting 4th in the order today.
3-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.14/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
3.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
72.6
67% hit prob
TB vs HOU • vs Hunter Brown (R) • #2 • 7:10 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .321 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 72°F
33113211 L10
Quietly productive — Caminero owns a 0.321 average across his last 7 starts. Goes up against Hunter Brown (0.84 ERA) today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.12/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
6.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
0.84
WHIP
1.03
K/9
15.0
H/9
4.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
A
80.1
69% hit prob
SF vs COL • vs Tomoyuki Sugano (R) • #4 • 8:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 7-game streak L7: .375 (7/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
111211112 L10
Devers is averaging 92.2 mph exit velocity this season with a 51% hard-hit rate. Goes up against Tomoyuki Sugano (1.69 ERA) today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field.
1-4
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.6/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.84
K/9
7.94
H/9
5.3
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
78.5
69% hit prob
BOS vs LAA • vs Sam Aldegheri (L) • #4 • 9:38 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .409 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
11211122 L10
Contreras has a 14.2% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Contreras's last 7 games: 0.409 AVG with 6 games producing a hit. Matchup vs Sam Aldegheri (LHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
1-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.02/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
18.5/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
78.4
69% hit prob
LAD vs SD • vs Griffin Canning (R) • #3 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .370 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
322322111 L10
Freeman is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.370 over his last 7. Freeman has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 27 PAs) — elite contact window. Freeman's 45.1% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
2-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.4/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
14.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
78.0
69% hit prob
MIA vs ATH • vs Aaron Civale (R) • #1 • 9:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 10-game streak L7: .290 (7/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
1221112211 L10
Hicks is outperforming his xBA by 36 points (0.288 AVG vs 0.251 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Faces Aaron Civale (5.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
3-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
8.0/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.0
K/9
5.4
H/9
7.2
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
B
75.2
68% hit prob
MIA vs ATH • vs Aaron Civale (R) • #2 • 9:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .379 (5/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
11121314 L10
Stowers has a 12.0% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Stowers's last 7 games: 0.379 AVG with 5 games producing a hit. Faces Aaron Civale (5.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play.
2-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.72/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.0
K/9
5.4
H/9
7.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
74.2
68% hit prob
MIL vs AZ • vs Merrill Kelly (R) • #3 • 9:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .312 (6/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
21311113 L10
Hitter-friendly park factor at Chase Field. Hitting 3rd in the order today. Turang is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.312 over his last 7.
3-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.7/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
74.1
68% hit prob
LAD vs SD • vs Griffin Canning (R) • #1 • 10:10 PM projected
L7: .233 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
2121211 L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Ohtani is averaging 93.6 mph exit velocity this season with a 52% hard-hit rate. Ohtani has a 17.1% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.14/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
14.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
73.7
67% hit prob
LAD vs SD • vs Griffin Canning (R) • #4 • 10:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .333 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
23112132 L10
Matchup vs Griffin Canning (RHP) grades 14/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitting 4th in the order today. Betts's xBA (0.275) outpaces his actual average (0.232) by 43 points — positive regression is coming.
1-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.22/35
Contact
14.0/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
73.3
67% hit prob
MIL vs AZ • vs Merrill Kelly (R) • #2 • 9:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .241 (6/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
122112111 L10
Faces Merrill Kelly (RHP) on the mound today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Chase Field. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
1-2
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.32/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
72.5
67% hit prob
KC vs PHI • vs Jesús Luzardo (L) • #1 • 8:10 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 1-game streak L7: .310 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 85°F · 5mph
111111312 L10
Jensen is outperforming his xBA by 25 points (0.238 AVG vs 0.212 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Quietly productive — Jensen owns a 0.310 average across his last 7 starts. Faces Jesús Luzardo who carries a 9.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
0-4
H-AB
3
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.0
WHIP
1.17
K/9
10.5
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
71.1
66% hit prob
KC vs PHI • vs Jesús Luzardo (L) • #8 • 8:10 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .286 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 85°F · 5mph
21111111 L10
Collins is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.286 over his last 7. Faces Jesús Luzardo who carries a 9.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.6/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.0
WHIP
1.17
K/9
10.5
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
70.9
66% hit prob
BOS vs LAA • vs Sam Aldegheri (L) • #5 • 9:38 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 1-game streak L7: .292 (6/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
12211111 L10
6 hits in 7 games and a 0.292 clip — Durbin is seeing it well. Matchup vs Sam Aldegheri (LHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
0-5
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.92/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
18.5/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.8
66% hit prob
SF vs COL • vs Tomoyuki Sugano (R) • #2 • 8:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .143 (3/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
22112 L10
Goes up against Tomoyuki Sugano (1.69 ERA) today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
2-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
24.76/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
12.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.84
K/9
7.94
H/9
5.3
Last 10 Games 5/10 with a hit
B
69.7
66% hit prob
MIA vs ATH • vs Aaron Civale (R) • #3 • 9:40 PM projected ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .312 (5/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
22222132 L10
Lopez is outperforming his xBA by 40 points (0.330 AVG vs 0.290 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Lopez has only struck out at a 9% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 32 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Aaron Civale (5.4 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play.
3-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.72/35
Contact
5.5/20
Pitcher
12.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
1.0
K/9
5.4
H/9
7.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.6
66% hit prob
SF vs COL • vs Tomoyuki Sugano (R) • #3 • 8:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .240 (5/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
2111121 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Ramos is averaging 92.5 mph exit velocity this season with a 51% hard-hit rate. Ramos has a 16.0% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
1-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.12/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
12.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.84
K/9
7.94
H/9
5.3
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
69.2
66% hit prob
PHI vs KC • vs Michael Wacha (R) • #1 • 8:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .323 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 85°F · 5mph
222212221 L10
Turner is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.323 over his last 7. Faces Michael Wacha (RHP) on the mound today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
1-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.7/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
6.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.67
K/9
10.5
H/9
4.5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
69.2
66% hit prob
KC vs PHI • vs Jesús Luzardo (L) • #2 • 8:10 PM projected ✗ MISS
L7: .292 (4/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 85°F · 5mph
312131 L10
Jr. is averaging 93.2 mph exit velocity this season with a 53% hard-hit rate. Quietly productive — Jr. owns a 0.292 average across his last 7 starts. Faces Jesús Luzardo who carries a 9.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.74/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.0
WHIP
1.17
K/9
10.5
H/9
9.0
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
69.1
66% hit prob
PIT vs WSH • vs Zack Littell (R) • #2 • 11:05 AM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .179 (4/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 93°F · 5mph
2121121 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Lowe's 45.7% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Lowe has a 12.5% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
1-5
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.64/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.6
K/9
1.8
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
69.0
66% hit prob
LAD vs SD • vs Griffin Canning (R) • #5 • 10:10 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .286 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
11222121 L10
Muncy has a 13.6% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Matchup vs Griffin Canning (RHP) grades 14/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Muncy has hits in 4 straight, carrying a 0.286 average over his last 7.
0-3
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.02/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
14.5/20
Lineup
6.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
68.5
66% hit prob
COL vs SF • vs Robbie Ray (L) • #1 • 8:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .345 (4/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
1232224 L10
McCarthy is outperforming his xBA by 38 points (0.300 AVG vs 0.261 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. McCarthy has only struck out at a 10% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 29 PAs) — elite contact window. McCarthy is hitting 0.345 over his last 7 (4/7 with a hit).
1-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.04/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.38
WHIP
1.03
K/9
9.71
H/9
7.1
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
68.4
66% hit prob
CWS vs CLE • vs Parker Messick (L) • #2 • 7:10 PM projected ✗ MISS
🔥 2-game streak L7: .269 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 86°F · 5mph
12312112 L10
Vargas's xBA (0.275) outpaces his actual average (0.246) by 29 points — positive regression is coming. Vargas's 47.0% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Vargas has a 15.4% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.44/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
4.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
0.82
WHIP
0.91
K/9
9.0
H/9
5.7
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
68.3
66% hit prob
SF vs COL • vs Tomoyuki Sugano (R) • #1 • 8:10 PM projected ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .385 (6/7 H) ⚾ Hitter+
111112231 L10
Arraez's last 7 games: 0.385 AVG with 6 games producing a hit. Goes up against Tomoyuki Sugano (1.69 ERA) today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field.
3-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.82/35
Contact
4.0/20
Pitcher
12.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.84
K/9
7.94
H/9
5.3
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
68.3
66% hit prob
BOS vs LAA • vs Sam Aldegheri (L) • #3 • 9:38 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .200 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
211111 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Abreu has a 12.3% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Matchup vs Sam Aldegheri (LHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
1-3
H-AB
2
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.82/35
Contact
5.5/20
Pitcher
18.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
Power Plays
11 LOCK picks today — extra-base hit props
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