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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 127-73 (63.5%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 11-8 (57.9%) · A 222-104 (68.1%) · B 2540-1347 (65.3%)
← PREV 2026-08-16 NEXT → ▼ DOWNLOAD TODAY'S HOT BOARD Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Today's Locks
Picks locked 1:00 PM ET
Current Streak
🔥 0
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCKC vs LAALAA · vs Ryan Johnson · 4:07 PM
Score
92.5
Prob
78%
Tier
S
✗ MISS
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZAZ vs ATLATL · vs Bryce Elder · 1:35 PM
Score
80.5
Prob
69%
Tier
A
✓ HIT
Yesterday's Card
13-7 Record 65.0% Hit Rate 20 Picks
▼
Player Score Tier Line Result
Jac Caglianone 86.0 A 1-for-3, 1K ✓ HIT
Sal Stewart 81.5 A 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Yordan Alvarez 75.1 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Pete Alonso 74.0 B 3-for-5 ✓ HIT
Yandy Díaz 73.8 B 2-for-4 ✓ HIT
Wilyer Abreu 73.2 B 3-for-4 ✓ HIT
Jared Young 73.1 B 2-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Gabriel Moreno 71.5 B 3-for-4 ✓ HIT
Fernando Tatis Jr. 70.5 B 0-for-2, 1K ✗ MISS
Ryan Jeffers 70.4 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Bryson Stott 70.2 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Carson Benge 70.1 B 1-for-2, 1K ✓ HIT
Randy Arozarena 69.9 B 0-for-5, 2K ✗ MISS
Drake Baldwin 69.9 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Masataka Yoshida 69.9 B 1-for-2 ✓ HIT
Ty France 69.7 B 0-for-2, 1K ✗ MISS
Tyler Stephenson 69.1 B 0-for-4, 2K ✗ MISS
Spencer Torkelson 68.4 B 0-for-4, 2K ✗ MISS
Trent Grisham 68.0 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
Corbin Carroll 68.0 B 2-for-3 ✓ HIT
0
🔒 LOCKS
21
TOTAL PICKS
2
S/A TIER
92.5
TOP SCORE
15-6
Record
71%
Hit Rate
0
Pending
21
Total Picks
Today's Locks (4 locks)
🔒 LOCK
S
Jac Caglianone

Jac Caglianone
92.5
78% hit prob
KC vs LAA • vs Ryan Johnson (R) • #3 • 4:07 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 10-game streak L7: .519 (7/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 84°F · 8mph
1124122131 L10
Caglianone is averaging 93.2 mph exit velocity this season with a 54% hard-hit rate. Caglianone has a 13.4% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Ryan Johnson who carries a 16.20 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
18.5/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
16.2
WHIP
3.3
K/9
5.81
H/9
20.3
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
A
Gabriel Moreno

Gabriel Moreno
80.5
69% hit prob
AZ vs ATL • vs Bryce Elder (R) • #3 • 1:35 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 9-game streak L7: .387 (7/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 92°F · 5mph
312121213 L10
Moreno is scorching — 9 straight games with a hit and a 0.387 L7 average. Faces Bryce Elder (RHP) on the mound today. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
1-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.0
K/9
7.5
H/9
7.5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
Corbin Carroll

Corbin Carroll
76.8
68% hit prob
AZ vs ATL • vs Bryce Elder (R) • #2 • 1:35 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .346 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 92°F · 5mph
21111222 L10
Carroll's 48.2% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Carroll has a 12.2% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Matchup vs Bryce Elder (RHP) grades 14/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.8/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.0
K/9
7.5
H/9
7.5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
🔒 LOCK
B
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Díaz
76.5
68% hit prob
TB vs BAL • vs Trevor Rogers (L) • #1 • 12:15 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .394 (6/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
2431212 L10
Faces Trevor Rogers (5.5 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Díaz is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.394 over his last 7.
1-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.0/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
8.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.38
WHIP
1.08
K/9
5.54
H/9
6.2
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
Additional picks
B
Chase DeLauter

Chase DeLauter
75.9
68% hit prob
CLE vs SD • vs Casey Mize (R) • #2 • 1:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .355 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 81°F · 9mph
22132212 L10
Goes up against Casey Mize (1.50 ERA) today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. DeLauter is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.355 over his last 7.
0-1
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.4/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
9.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.5
WHIP
1.0
K/9
13.5
H/9
6.0
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Jared Young

Jared Young
74.0
68% hit prob
NYM vs WSH • vs Jake Irvin (R) • #5 • 1:40 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .357 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 79°F · 13mph
21132112 L10
Young's 46.8% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Goes up against Jake Irvin (3.60 ERA) today. Young is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.357 over his last 7.
2-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.0/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
13.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
1.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
0.8
K/9
12.6
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Carson Benge

Carson Benge
73.1
67% hit prob
NYM vs WSH • vs Jake Irvin (R) • #4 • 1:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .417 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 79°F · 13mph
113222211 L10
Hitting 4th in the order today. Benge has hits in 4 straight, carrying a 0.417 average over his last 7. Benge's last 7 games: 0.417 AVG with 6 games producing a hit.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.62/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
13.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
0.8
K/9
12.6
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Josh Bell

Josh Bell
72.9
67% hit prob
MIN vs PHI • vs Andrew Painter (R) • #3 • 2:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .259 (4/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 79°F · 12mph
141231 L10
Bell has recorded a hit in 4 of his last 7 games. Matchup vs Andrew Painter (RHP) grades 19/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
26.44/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
19.0/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.94
K/9
14.12
H/9
7.1
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
Drake Baldwin

Drake Baldwin
72.5
67% hit prob
ATL vs AZ • vs Michael Soroka (R) • #1 • 1:35 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .276 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 92°F · 5mph
21212311 L10
Baldwin's 50.4% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Baldwin has a 12.7% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Michael Soroka (RHP) on the mound today.
1-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.52/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
7.5/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.0
K/9
18.0
H/9
7.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Willi Castro

Willi Castro
71.8
67% hit prob
COL vs SF • vs Blade Tidwell (R) • #4 • 4:05 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .200 (4/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 66°F · 16mph
2121121 L10
Faces Blade Tidwell (6.0 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Hitting 4th in the order today. Finding ways on — Castro has 4 hit games out of his last 7.
1-4
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.34/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
18.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.67
K/9
6.0
H/9
6.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Royce Lewis

Royce Lewis
71.6
67% hit prob
MIN vs PHI • vs Andrew Painter (R) • #5 • 2:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .300 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 79°F · 12mph
11222221 L10
Lewis is hitting 0.300 over his last 7 (5/7 with a hit). Matchup vs Andrew Painter (RHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
1-2
H-AB
2
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.62/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
18.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.94
K/9
14.12
H/9
7.1
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor
71.5
67% hit prob
SEA vs HOU • vs Hunter Brown (R) • #5 • 7:20 PM projected ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .400 (6/7 H) ⚾ Neutral
2311122 L10
Naylor is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.400 over his last 7. Goes up against Hunter Brown (0.84 ERA) today.
1-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.5/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
7.5/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
0.84
WHIP
1.03
K/9
15.0
H/9
4.4
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Sal Stewart

Sal Stewart
70.5
66% hit prob
CIN vs MIA • vs Eury Pérez (R) • #2 • 1:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 7-game streak L7: .357 (7/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 87°F · 9mph
121112212 L10
Stewart has a 12.4% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Goes up against Eury Pérez (3.86 ERA) today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Great American Ball Park.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
9.5/20
Pitcher
4.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.86
WHIP
0.86
K/9
10.29
H/9
6.4
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Wilyer Abreu

Wilyer Abreu
69.9
66% hit prob
BOS vs PIT • vs Lake Bachar (R) • #3 • 1:35 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .304 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 81°F · 10mph
21211113 L10
Goes up against Lake Bachar (3.00 ERA) today. Hitting 3rd in the order today. Abreu is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.304 over his last 7.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.9/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
6.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.0
WHIP
0.67
K/9
9.0
H/9
3.0
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Jake McCarthy

Jake McCarthy
69.5
66% hit prob
COL vs SF • vs Blade Tidwell (R) • #1 • 4:05 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .267 (4/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 66°F · 16mph
3134211 L10
McCarthy has only struck out at a 10% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 30 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Blade Tidwell (6.0 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
1-3
H-AB
2
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.46/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
17.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
1.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.67
K/9
6.0
H/9
6.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Francisco Lindor

Francisco Lindor
69.1
66% hit prob
NYM vs WSH • vs Jake Irvin (R) • #2 • 1:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .360 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 79°F · 13mph
21113112 L10
Goes up against Jake Irvin (3.60 ERA) today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Lindor has only struck out at a 8% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 25 PAs) — elite contact window.
1-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.62/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
13.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
1.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.6
WHIP
0.8
K/9
12.6
H/9
5.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
Bryson Stott

Bryson Stott
69.1
66% hit prob
PHI vs MIN • vs Dean Kremer (R) • #2 • 2:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 7-game streak L7: .370 (7/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 79°F · 12mph
122221111 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Stott is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.370 L7 average. Faces Dean Kremer (RHP) on the mound today.
1-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
34.6/35
Contact
7.5/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
Alejandro Kirk

Alejandro Kirk
68.3
66% hit prob
TOR vs NYY • vs Ryan Weathers (L) • #3 • 1:37 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 5-game streak L7: .364 (5/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
1422121 L10
Kirk has only struck out at a 9% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 22 PAs) — elite contact window. Goes up against Ryan Weathers (2.08 ERA) today. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
1-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.3/35
Contact
9.5/20
Pitcher
8.5/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.08
WHIP
1.38
K/9
15.37
H/9
8.8
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
Alec Burleson

Alec Burleson
68.2
66% hit prob
STL vs CHC • vs Edward Cabrera (R) • #3 • 3:15 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .280 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 86°F · 4mph
112121 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Burleson's 49.9% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. 5 hits in 7 games and a 0.280 clip — Burleson is seeing it well.
3-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.72/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.69
K/9
7.23
H/9
1.6
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
Trevor Larnach

Trevor Larnach
68.1
66% hit prob
MIN vs PHI • vs Andrew Painter (R) • #1 • 2:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .154 (3/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 79°F · 12mph
12112 L10
Larnach has recorded a hit in 3 of his last 7 games. Matchup vs Andrew Painter (RHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
1-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
19.06/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
18.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.94
K/9
14.12
H/9
7.1
Last 10 Games 5/10 with a hit
B
Luke Keaschall

Luke Keaschall
68.0
66% hit prob
MIN vs PHI • vs Andrew Painter (R) • #7 • 2:10 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 2-game streak L7: .364 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 79°F · 12mph
11121122 L10
Matchup vs Andrew Painter (RHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Keaschall is outperforming his xBA by 32 points (0.280 AVG vs 0.248 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Keaschall's last 7 games: 0.364 AVG with 5 games producing a hit.
0-3
H-AB
2
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.02/35
Contact
7.5/20
Pitcher
18.0/20
Lineup
3.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.94
K/9
14.12
H/9
7.1
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
Power Plays
4 LOCK picks today — extra-base hit props
→
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