LOCK LABS — Power Plays

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BTS Single 25-6 (80.6%) · Streak: 2 · Parlay: 9-4 (69.2%) · S 1-1 (50.0%) · A 32-13 (71.1%) · B 257-122 (67.8%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record

7-4 64%

2+ TB Record

7-4 64%

Graded

11 picks L1

← PREV 2026-04-15 NEXT →

Last scored 09:00 PM ET

⚡

No LOCK picks for 2026-04-15.

LOCK picks require pitcher form + boost on top of elevated power metrics. Not every day qualifies.

Recent Results (last 20 graded)

✗

Aaron Judge

2026-04-23 — NYY

NYY vs

BOS

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Drake Baldwin

2026-04-23 — ATL

ATL vs

WSH

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Matt Olson

2026-04-23 — ATL

ATL vs

WSH

2B

4 TB

✓

Ian Happ

2026-04-23 — CHC

CHC vs

PHI

HR

5 TB

✓

Yordan Alvarez

2026-04-22 — HOU

HOU vs

CLE

HR

6 TB

✓

Drake Baldwin

2026-04-22 — ATL

ATL vs

WSH

HR

5 TB

✓

Matt Olson

2026-04-22 — ATL

ATL vs

WSH

HR

4 TB

✗

Ramón Laureano

2026-04-22 —

SD vs

COL

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Carter Jensen

2026-04-22 —

KC vs

BAL

HR

5 TB

✗

Daulton Varsho

2026-04-22 — TOR

TOR vs

LAA

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Zach Neto

2026-04-22 — LAA

LAA vs

TOR

2B

2 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB

45-172 (21%)

ELITE

13-47 (22%)

Brandon Lowe BOMB

PIT vs WSH

WSH vs Jake Irvin temp pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

32%

✗ No HR

Ronald Acuña Jr. BOMB

ATL vs MIA

MIA vs Chris Paddack temp pitcher_form

HR prob

31%

✗ No HR

Jazz Chisholm Jr. BOMB

NYY vs LAA

LAA vs Jack Kochanowicz temp platoon

HR prob

30%

✗ No HR

Giancarlo Stanton BOMB

NYY vs LAA

LAA vs Jack Kochanowicz temp

HR prob

30%

✗ No HR

Aaron Judge BOMB

NYY vs LAA

LAA vs Jack Kochanowicz temp

HR prob

30%

✓ HOME RUN!

Kyle Schwarber BOMB

PHI vs CHC

CHC vs Shota Imanaga temp

HR prob

30%

✗ No HR

Jo Adell BOMB

LAA vs NYY

NYY vs Luis Gil temp

HR prob

30%

✗ No HR

Nick Kurtz BOMB

ATH vs TEX

TEX vs Kumar Rocker pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Shea Langeliers BOMB

ATH vs TEX

TEX vs Kumar Rocker pitcher_form

HR prob

28%

✓ HOME RUN!

Taylor Ward BOMB

BAL vs

AZ vs Eduardo Rodriguez temp platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Pete Alonso BOMB

BAL vs

AZ vs Eduardo Rodriguez temp platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Cal Raleigh BOMB

SEA vs

SD vs Randy Vásquez platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Austin Wells BOMB

NYY vs LAA

LAA vs Jack Kochanowicz temp platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Riley Greene BOMB

DET vs

KC vs Seth Lugo platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Ben Rice BOMB

NYY vs LAA

LAA vs Jack Kochanowicz temp platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Bryce Harper BOMB

PHI vs CHC

CHC vs Shota Imanaga temp

HR prob

27%

✓ HOME RUN!

Cody Bellinger BOMB

NYY vs LAA

LAA vs Jack Kochanowicz temp platoon

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Mike Trout BOMB

LAA vs NYY

NYY vs Luis Gil temp

HR prob

24%

✓ HOME RUN!

Zach Neto BOMB

LAA vs NYY

NYY vs Luis Gil temp

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

José Ramírez BOMB

CLE vs STL

STL vs Dustin May pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

23%

✗ No HR

Isaac Paredes BOMB

HOU vs COL

COL vs Jose Quintana pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

23%

✗ No HR

Mickey Moniak BOMB

COL vs HOU

HOU vs Spencer Arrighetti platoon

HR prob

21%

✗ No HR

Junior Caminero ELITE

TB vs

CWS vs Sean Burke

HR prob

27%

✓ HOME RUN!

Ramón Laureano ELITE

SD vs

SEA vs Emerson Hancock

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Spencer Torkelson ELITE

DET vs

KC vs Seth Lugo

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Hunter Goodman ELITE

COL vs HOU

HOU vs Spencer Arrighetti

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Julio Rodríguez ELITE

SEA vs

SD vs Randy Vásquez

HR prob

21%

✗ No HR

How picks are filtered

2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.

HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.

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