LOCK LABS — Power Plays

BTS Single 127-73 (63.5%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 11-8 (57.9%) · A 222-104 (68.1%) · B 2540-1347 (65.3%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record

311-634 33%

2+ TB Record

389-556 41%

Graded

945 picks L5

← PREV 2026-06-27 NEXT →

Last scored 04:00 PM ET

Juan Soto LOCK

NYM vs PHI

PHI vs Alan Rangel 4:10 PM ET platoon temp confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Soto's .262 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Alan Rangel has allowed a 11% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 79°F game-time temp.

✓ XBH 4 TB

Recent Results (last 20 graded)

✗

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-20 — PIT

PIT vs

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Brice Turang

2026-09-20 — MIL

MIL vs

BAL

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Cole Young

2026-09-20 — SEA

SEA vs

COL

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-20 — PIT

PIT vs

4 TB

✗

Kyle Stowers

2026-09-20 — MIA

MIA vs

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Kyle Schwarber

2026-09-20 — PHI

PHI vs

NYM

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-20 — LAA

LAA vs

MIN

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Ryan O'Hearn

2026-09-20 — PIT

PIT vs

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Munetaka Murakami

2026-09-20 — CWS

CWS vs

DET

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Ian Happ

2026-09-19 — CHC

CHC vs

CIN

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Sal Stewart

2026-09-19 — CIN

CIN vs

CHC

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Drake Baldwin

2026-09-19 — ATL

ATL vs

HOU

4 TB

✗

Yordan Alvarez

2026-09-19 — HOU

HOU vs

ATL

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Carter Jensen

2026-09-19 —

KC vs

PIT

4 TB

✗

Matt Olson

2026-09-19 — ATL

ATL vs

HOU

No XBH

2 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-19 — LAA

LAA vs

MIN

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Munetaka Murakami

2026-09-19 — CWS

CWS vs

DET

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-18 — PIT

PIT vs

4 TB

✗

Chase DeLauter

2026-09-18 — CLE

CLE vs ATH

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-18 — PIT

PIT vs

4 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB

331-1432 (19%)

ELITE

57-256 (18%)

Cal Raleigh BOMB

SEA vs CLE

CLE vs Slade Cecconi temp platoon

HR prob

30%

✗ No HR

Juan Soto BOMB

NYM vs PHI

PHI vs Alan Rangel temp platoon

HR prob

30%

✗ No HR

Byron Buxton BOMB

MIN vs COL

COL vs Michael Lorenzen temp

HR prob

30%

✗ No HR

Max Muncy BOMB

LAD vs

SD vs Randy Vásquez pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Shohei Ohtani BOMB

LAD vs

SD vs Randy Vásquez pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Daulton Varsho BOMB

TOR vs TEX

TEX vs Cal Quantrill pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Kody Clemens BOMB

MIN vs COL

COL vs Michael Lorenzen temp platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Colson Montgomery BOMB

CWS vs

KC vs Michael Wacha platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Rafael Devers BOMB

SF vs

ATL vs Bryce Elder pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

26%

✓ HOME RUN! 2 HR

James Wood BOMB

WSH vs BAL

BAL vs Brandon Young temp platoon

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Julio Rodríguez BOMB

SEA vs CLE

CLE vs Slade Cecconi temp

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Carter Jensen BOMB

KC vs

CWS vs Davis Martin pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

23%

✗ No HR

Rob Refsnyder ELITE

SEA vs CLE

CLE vs Slade Cecconi

HR prob

21%

How picks are filtered

2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.

HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.

LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
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