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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 127-73 (63.5%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 11-8 (57.9%) · A 222-104 (68.1%) · B 2540-1347 (65.3%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
311-634 33%
2+ TB Record
389-556 41%
Graded
945 picks L5
← PREV 2026-07-27 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Brice Turang
BT
MIL MIL vs SF SF vs Tyler Mahle 9:45 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Turang's .273 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Tyler Mahle's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Shea Langeliers
SL
ATH vs BOS BOS vs Payton Tolle 9:40 PM ET platoon park confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Langeliers: .416 ISO and a 114 mph max exit velo this season. Payton Tolle's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and park factor 1.23x.
Luis García Jr.
LJ
WSH WSH vs TOR TOR vs Max Scherzer 6:45 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
With a .235 ISO and 114 mph max exit velocity, Jr. has the raw power to damage any pitcher. Max Scherzer has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 84°F game-time temp.
✓ XBH 3 TB
Elly De La Cruz
EC
CIN CIN vs CLE CLE vs Slade Cecconi 7:10 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
With a .243 ISO and 116 mph max exit velocity, Cruz has the raw power to damage any pitcher. Slade Cecconi has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 88°F game-time temp.
CJ Abrams
CA
CJ Abrams LOCK
WSH WSH vs TOR TOR vs Max Scherzer 6:45 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Abrams is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .291 ISO with 111 mph max exit velo. Max Scherzer has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 84°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Corbin Carroll
CC
AZ AZ vs PIT PIT vs Mitch Keller 6:40 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Carroll is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .343 ISO with 113 mph max exit velo. Mitch Keller has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 13% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 83°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Jordan Walker
JW
STL STL vs CHC CHC vs David Peterson 7:45 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Walker: .267 ISO and a 117 mph max exit velo this season. David Peterson's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 99°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
James Wood
JW
James Wood LOCK
WSH WSH vs TOR TOR vs Max Scherzer 6:45 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
With a .225 ISO and 116 mph max exit velocity, Wood has the raw power to damage any pitcher. Max Scherzer has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 84°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Sal Stewart
SS
CIN CIN vs CLE CLE vs Slade Cecconi 7:10 PM ET temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Stewart: .300 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Slade Cecconi has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Gets an extra edge from 88°F game-time temp.
Chase DeLauter
CD
CLE CLE vs CIN CIN vs Chase Burns 7:10 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from DeLauter: .468 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Chase Burns's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 88°F game-time temp.
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-20 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
2026-09-20 — MIL MIL vs BAL BAL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-09-20 — SEA SEA vs COL COL
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-20 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
HR
4 TB
✗
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
2026-09-20 — MIA MIA vs SD SD
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
2026-09-20 — PHI PHI vs NYM NYM
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-20 — LAA LAA vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
2026-09-20 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-20 — CWS CWS vs DET DET
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-19 — CHC CHC vs CIN CIN
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
2026-09-19 — CIN CIN vs CHC CHC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-09-19 — ATL ATL vs HOU HOU
2B
4 TB
✗
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-09-19 — HOU HOU vs ATL ATL
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
2026-09-19 — KC KC vs PIT PIT
HR
4 TB
✗
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-09-19 — ATL ATL vs HOU HOU
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-19 — LAA LAA vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-19 — CWS CWS vs DET DET
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-18 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
HR
4 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-09-18 — CLE CLE vs ATH
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-18 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
2B
4 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
331-1432 (19%)
ELITE
57-256 (18%)
Eugenio Suárez
ES
CIN CIN vs CLE CLE vs Slade Cecconi temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
Juan Soto
JS
Juan Soto BOMB
NYM NYM vs ATL ATL vs Martín Pérez temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
Sal Stewart
SS
CIN CIN vs CLE CLE vs Slade Cecconi temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
Jorge Polanco
JP
NYM NYM vs ATL ATL vs Martín Pérez temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
Ketel Marte
KM
AZ AZ vs PIT PIT vs Mitch Keller temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Cal Raleigh
CR
SEA SEA vs TEX TEX vs Kumar Rocker pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
James Wood
JW
James Wood BOMB
WSH WSH vs TOR TOR vs Max Scherzer temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Brandon Lowe
BL
PIT PIT vs AZ AZ vs Merrill Kelly temp platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Taylor Ward
TW
BAL BAL vs DET DET vs Keider Montero temp
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Pete Alonso
PA
BAL BAL vs DET DET vs Keider Montero temp
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Corbin Carroll
CC
AZ AZ vs PIT PIT vs Mitch Keller temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Shea Langeliers
SL
ATH vs BOS BOS vs Payton Tolle platoon
HR prob
24%
Tyler O'Neill
TO
BAL BAL vs DET DET vs Keider Montero
HR prob
21%
✓ HOME RUN!
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
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