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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 127-73 (63.5%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 11-8 (57.9%) · A 222-104 (68.1%) · B 2540-1347 (65.3%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
311-634 33%
2+ TB Record
389-556 41%
Graded
945 picks L5
← PREV 2026-08-30 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Kyle Schwarber
KS
PHI PHI vs LAA LAA vs Yusei Kikuchi 4:07 PM ET park temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Schwarber: .343 ISO and a 113 mph max exit velo this season. Yusei Kikuchi's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: park factor 1.05x and 89°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Oneil Cruz
OC
Oneil Cruz LOCK
PIT PIT vs STL STL vs Matthew Liberatore 2:15 PM ET temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Cruz: .343 ISO and a 119 mph max exit velo this season. Matthew Liberatore's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from 92°F game-time temp.
✓ XBH 2 TB
Wilyer Abreu
WA
BOS BOS vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren 1:35 PM ET platoon park temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Abreu's .428 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Will Warren has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 12% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Everything lines up: platoon advantage, park factor 1.06x, and 77°F game-time temp.
✓ 2+ TB 2 TB
Andy Pages
AP
Andy Pages LOCK
LAD LAD vs DET DET vs Framber Valdez 1:40 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Pages is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .323 ISO with 110 mph max exit velo. Framber Valdez's last 3 starts show a 9% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-20 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
2026-09-20 — MIL MIL vs BAL BAL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-09-20 — SEA SEA vs COL COL
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-20 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
HR
4 TB
✗
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
2026-09-20 — MIA MIA vs SD SD
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
2026-09-20 — PHI PHI vs NYM NYM
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-20 — LAA LAA vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
2026-09-20 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-20 — CWS CWS vs DET DET
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
2026-09-19 — CHC CHC vs CIN CIN
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
2026-09-19 — CIN CIN vs CHC CHC
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-09-19 — ATL ATL vs HOU HOU
2B
4 TB
✗
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-09-19 — HOU HOU vs ATL ATL
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
2026-09-19 — KC KC vs PIT PIT
HR
4 TB
✗
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-09-19 — ATL ATL vs HOU HOU
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-09-19 — LAA LAA vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
2026-09-19 — CWS CWS vs DET DET
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
2026-09-18 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
HR
4 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-09-18 — CLE CLE vs ATH
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
2026-09-18 — PIT PIT vs KC KC
2B
4 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
331-1432 (19%)
ELITE
57-256 (18%)
Eugenio Suárez
ES
CIN CIN vs CHC CHC vs Shota Imanaga temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
32%
✗ No HR
Sal Stewart
SS
CIN CIN vs CHC CHC vs Shota Imanaga temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
32%
✓ HOME RUN!
Kyle Schwarber
KS
PHI PHI vs LAA LAA vs Yusei Kikuchi temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
✗ No HR
Jo Adell
JA
Jo Adell BOMB
CLE CLE vs KC KC vs Seth Lugo temp pitcher_form
HR prob
31%
✗ No HR
Colson Montgomery
CM
CWS CWS vs MIN MIN vs Zebby Matthews temp platoon
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Pete Alonso
PA
BAL BAL vs ATH vs Jeffrey Springs temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Cal Raleigh
CR
SEA SEA vs TOR TOR vs Max Scherzer pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Wilyer Abreu
WA
BOS BOS vs NYY NYY vs Will Warren temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Brandon Lowe
BL
PIT PIT vs STL STL vs Matthew Liberatore temp pitcher_form
HR prob
28%
✗ No HR
Corey Seager
CS
TEX TEX vs MIL MIL vs Dustin May pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
José Ramírez
JR
CLE CLE vs KC KC vs Seth Lugo temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✓ HOME RUN!
Tyler O'Neill
TO
BAL BAL vs ATH vs Jeffrey Springs temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
Bryce Harper
BH
PHI PHI vs LAA LAA vs Yusei Kikuchi temp pitcher_form
HR prob
25%
✗ No HR
Christian Yelich
CY
MIL MIL vs TEX TEX vs Kumar Rocker platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Gary Sánchez
GS
MIL MIL vs TEX TEX vs Kumar Rocker
HR prob
24%
✓ HOME RUN!
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
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