LOCK LABS — Power Plays

BTS Single 127-73 (63.5%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-43 (40.3%) · S 11-8 (57.9%) · A 222-104 (68.1%) · B 2540-1347 (65.3%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record

311-634 33%

2+ TB Record

389-556 41%

Graded

945 picks L5

← PREV 2026-09-05 NEXT →

Last scored 04:00 PM ET

Drake Baldwin LOCK

ATL vs PHI

PHI vs Zack Wheeler 6:05 PM ET platoon temp confirmed

XBH Prob

48%

Awaiting lines

Baldwin is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .325 ISO with 113 mph max exit velo. Zack Wheeler's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 79°F game-time temp.

✓ 2+ TB 2 TB

Recent Results (last 20 graded)

✗

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-20 — PIT

PIT vs

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Brice Turang

2026-09-20 — MIL

MIL vs

BAL

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Cole Young

2026-09-20 — SEA

SEA vs

COL

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-20 — PIT

PIT vs

4 TB

✗

Kyle Stowers

2026-09-20 — MIA

MIA vs

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Kyle Schwarber

2026-09-20 — PHI

PHI vs

NYM

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-20 — LAA

LAA vs

MIN

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Ryan O'Hearn

2026-09-20 — PIT

PIT vs

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Munetaka Murakami

2026-09-20 — CWS

CWS vs

DET

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Ian Happ

2026-09-19 — CHC

CHC vs

CIN

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Sal Stewart

2026-09-19 — CIN

CIN vs

CHC

No XBH

0 TB

✓

Drake Baldwin

2026-09-19 — ATL

ATL vs

HOU

4 TB

✗

Yordan Alvarez

2026-09-19 — HOU

HOU vs

ATL

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Carter Jensen

2026-09-19 —

KC vs

PIT

4 TB

✗

Matt Olson

2026-09-19 — ATL

ATL vs

HOU

No XBH

2 TB

✗

Zach Neto

2026-09-19 — LAA

LAA vs

MIN

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Munetaka Murakami

2026-09-19 — CWS

CWS vs

DET

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-18 — PIT

PIT vs

4 TB

✗

Chase DeLauter

2026-09-18 — CLE

CLE vs ATH

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-18 — PIT

PIT vs

4 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB

331-1432 (19%)

ELITE

57-256 (18%)

Daulton Varsho BOMB

TOR vs

KC vs Seth Lugo temp pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

32%

✗ No HR

George Springer BOMB

TOR vs

KC vs Seth Lugo temp pitcher_form

HR prob

31%

✗ No HR

Eugenio Suárez BOMB

CIN vs MIL

MIL vs Dustin May temp pitcher_form

HR prob

31%

✗ No HR

Sal Stewart BOMB

CIN vs MIL

MIL vs Dustin May temp pitcher_form

HR prob

31%

✗ No HR

Juan Soto BOMB

NYM vs

SF vs Anthony Molina temp platoon

HR prob

30%

✗ No HR

Kyle Schwarber BOMB

PHI vs ATL

ATL vs Martín Pérez temp

HR prob

30%

✓ HOME RUN!

Cal Raleigh BOMB

SEA vs ATH vs Jeffrey Springs pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Vinnie Pasquantino BOMB

KC vs

TOR vs Max Scherzer temp pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Hunter Goodman BOMB

COL vs STL

STL vs Matthew Liberatore temp pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

29%

✗ No HR

Michael Busch BOMB

CHC vs MIA

MIA vs Ryan Gusto platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Bryce Harper BOMB

PHI vs ATL

ATL vs Martín Pérez temp

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Carter Jensen BOMB

KC vs

TOR vs Max Scherzer temp pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

26%

✗ No HR

Salvador Perez BOMB

KC vs

TOR vs Max Scherzer temp pitcher_form

HR prob

25%

✗ No HR

Julio Rodríguez BOMB

SEA vs ATH vs Jeffrey Springs pitcher_form platoon

HR prob

23%

✗ No HR

Pete Crow-Armstrong BOMB

CHC vs MIA

MIA vs Ryan Gusto platoon

HR prob

21%

✗ No HR

How picks are filtered

2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.

HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.

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