LOCK LABS — Strikeout Props

BTS Single 129-74 (63.5%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 29-44 (39.7%) · S 11-8 (57.9%) · A 227-108 (67.8%) · B 2593-1375 (65.3%)

Strikeout Props

BETA

Pitcher K over lines + batter over 0.5 K props.

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Pitcher Strikeouts

Over K line props

Overall

532-188 74%

ACE

305-92 77%

PUNCH

227-96 70%

ACE Picks — Over 4.5 K · 2026-05-03

Chase Burns ACE

CIN vs PIT

PIT Line: Over 4.5 K high K opp elite whiff

Over Prob

86%

K/9: 10.3 · L3: 10.7

Pred: 7.7 K

✓ OVER ✓ 7 K in 7.0 IP

Jesús Luzardo ACE

PHI vs MIA

MIA Line: Over 4.5 K elite whiff

Over Prob

74%

K/9: 10.8 · L3: 7.9

Pred: 6.6 K

✓ OVER ✓ 10 K in 6.3333 IP

Braxton Ashcraft ACE

PIT vs CIN

CIN Line: Over 4.5 K elite whiff

Over Prob

65%

K/9: 10.3 · L3: 10.1

Pred: 6.0 K

✓ OVER ✓ 6 K in 7.6667 IP

PUNCH Picks — Over 4.5 K

Parker Messick PUNCH

CLE vs ATH Line: Over 4.5 K deep starter

Over Prob

78%

K/9: 9.6 · L3: 10.6

Pred: 6.9 K

✓ OVER ✓ 6 K in 5.0 IP

Joe Ryan PUNCH

MIN vs TOR

TOR Line: Over 4.5 K high K opp

Over Prob

68%

K/9: 9.2 · L3: 9.0

Pred: 6.2 K

✗ UNDER 1 K in 0.3333 IP

Kris Bubic PUNCH

KC vs

SEA Line: Over 4.5 K

Over Prob

49%

K/9: 9.4 · L3: 6.9

Pred: 4.9 K

✓ OVER ✓ 7 K in 7.0 IP

Batter Strikeouts

Over 0.5 K props

Overall

9581-5092 65%

WHIFF

5189-2423 68%

CHASE

4392-2669 62%

WHIFF Picks — 2026-05-03

Owen Caissie WHIFF

MIA vs PHI

PHI vs Jesús Luzardo high K team hot K streak

K Prob

91%

K rate: 47% · K/9: 10.8

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

Corbin Carroll WHIFF

AZ vs

CHC vs Matthew Boyd hot K streak

K Prob

89%

K rate: 33% · K/9: 13.7

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

Nick Kurtz WHIFF

ATH vs CLE

CLE vs Parker Messick high K team hot K streak

K Prob

89%

K rate: 42% · K/9: 9.6

✓ STRUCK OUT 2 K

Connor Norby WHIFF

MIA vs PHI

PHI vs Jesús Luzardo high K team hot K streak

K Prob

87%

K rate: 34% · K/9: 10.8

✓ STRUCK OUT 3 K

Elly De La Cruz WHIFF

CIN vs PIT

PIT vs Braxton Ashcraft high K team hot K streak

K Prob

86%

K rate: 32% · K/9: 10.3

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

Oneil Cruz WHIFF

PIT vs CIN

CIN vs Chase Burns hot K streak

K Prob

86%

K rate: 39% · K/9: 10.3

✗ No K 0 K

Brent Rooker WHIFF

ATH vs CLE

CLE vs Parker Messick high K team

K Prob

84%

K rate: 37% · K/9: 9.6

✓ STRUCK OUT 2 K

Jorge Barrosa WHIFF

AZ vs

CHC vs Matthew Boyd

K Prob

84%

K rate: 33% · K/9: 13.7

✗ No K 0 K

Kerry Carpenter WHIFF

DET vs TEX

TEX vs Jack Leiter high K team

K Prob

83%

K rate: 39% · K/9: 9.5

✓ STRUCK OUT 2 K

Matt McLain WHIFF

CIN vs PIT

PIT vs Braxton Ashcraft high K team hot K streak

K Prob

82%

K rate: 31% · K/9: 10.3

✗ No K 0 K

Leo Rivas WHIFF

SEA vs

KC vs Kris Bubic high K team hot K streak

K Prob

82%

K rate: 38% · K/9: 9.4

✗ No K 0 K

Davis Schneider WHIFF

TOR vs MIN

MIN vs Joe Ryan hot K streak

K Prob

81%

K rate: 39% · K/9: 9.2

Riley Greene WHIFF

DET vs TEX

TEX vs Jack Leiter high K team hot K streak

K Prob

80%

K rate: 31% · K/9: 9.5

✓ STRUCK OUT 2 K

Bryan Reynolds WHIFF

PIT vs CIN

CIN vs Chase Burns

K Prob

80%

K rate: 33% · K/9: 10.3

✓ STRUCK OUT 2 K

Graham Pauley WHIFF

MIA vs PHI

PHI vs Jesús Luzardo high K team

K Prob

80%

K rate: 28% · K/9: 10.8

✗ No K 0 K

Spencer Torkelson WHIFF

DET vs TEX

TEX vs Jack Leiter high K team

K Prob

79%

K rate: 33% · K/9: 9.5

✓ STRUCK OUT 3 K

Agustín Ramírez WHIFF

MIA vs PHI

PHI vs Jesús Luzardo high K team

K Prob

79%

K rate: 26% · K/9: 10.8

✗ No K 0 K

Randy Arozarena WHIFF

SEA vs

KC vs Kris Bubic high K team hot K streak

K Prob

78%

K rate: 27% · K/9: 9.4

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

Spencer Steer WHIFF

CIN vs PIT

PIT vs Braxton Ashcraft high K team

K Prob

77%

K rate: 29% · K/9: 10.3

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

Jonathan Aranda WHIFF

TB vs

SF vs Tyler Mahle hot K streak

K Prob

77%

K rate: 31% · K/9: 8.5

✗ No K 0 K

Marcell Ozuna WHIFF

PIT vs CIN

CIN vs Chase Burns hot K streak

K Prob

76%

K rate: 30% · K/9: 10.3

✗ No K 0 K

Taylor Walls WHIFF

TB vs

SF vs Tyler Mahle hot K streak

K Prob

75%

K rate: 33% · K/9: 8.5

✗ No K 0 K

Jake Fraley WHIFF

TB vs

SF vs Tyler Mahle hot K streak

K Prob

72%

K rate: 28% · K/9: 8.5

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

CHASE Picks

Kyle Schwarber CHASE

PHI vs MIA

MIA vs Chris Paddack hot K streak

K Prob

83%

K rate: 40% · K/9: 8.4

✗ No K 0 K

TJ Friedl CHASE

CIN vs PIT

PIT vs Braxton Ashcraft high K team

K Prob

78%

K rate: 25% · K/9: 10.3

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

Jac Caglianone CHASE

KC vs

SEA vs Luis Castillo hot K streak

K Prob

77%

K rate: 36% · K/9: 8.3

✗ No K 0 K

Carter Jensen CHASE

KC vs

SEA vs Luis Castillo hot K streak

K Prob

75%

K rate: 34% · K/9: 8.3

✓ STRUCK OUT 1 K

Recent Results (last 20 graded)

✓

Davis Schneider

2026-09-25 — MIN vs TEX · vs Jacob deGrom

1 K

WHIFF

✓

Christopher Morel

2026-09-25 — TB vs PHI · vs Cristopher Sánchez

1 K

WHIFF

✗

James Wood

2026-09-25 — PIT vs DET · vs Jackson Jobe

0 K

WHIFF

✓

Francisco Alvarez

2026-09-25 — MIN vs TEX · vs Jacob deGrom

2 K

WHIFF

✗

Kazuma Okamoto

2026-09-25 — MIN vs TEX · vs Jacob deGrom

0 K

WHIFF

✓

Spencer Torkelson

2026-09-25 — DET vs PIT · vs Bubba Chandler

1 K

CHASE

✓

Oneil Cruz

2026-09-25 — PIT vs DET · vs Jackson Jobe

1 K

WHIFF

✓

Spencer Jones

2026-09-25 — NYY vs BAL · vs Trevor Rogers

1 K

CHASE

✓

Brandon Lowe

2026-09-25 — PIT vs DET · vs Jackson Jobe

2 K

WHIFF

✓

Jahmai Jones

2026-09-25 — PHI vs TB · vs Freddy Peralta

2 K

CHASE

✗

Kyle Schwarber

2026-09-25 — PHI vs TB · vs Freddy Peralta

0 K

CHASE

✓

Dylan Beavers

2026-09-25 — STL vs MIL · vs Robert Gasser

2 K

CHASE

✓

Austin Riley

2026-09-25 — ATL vs MIA · vs Eury Pérez

2 K

WHIFF

✗

Colton Cowser

2026-09-25 — STL vs MIL · vs Robert Gasser

0 K

CHASE

✗

Carlos Narváez

2026-09-25 — STL vs MIL · vs Robert Gasser

0 K

CHASE

✗

Michael Busch

2026-09-25 — ATL vs MIA · vs Eury Pérez

0 K

WHIFF

✗

Sean Murphy

2026-09-25 — ATL vs MIA · vs Eury Pérez

0 K

WHIFF

✓

Pete Crow-Armstrong

2026-09-25 — ATL vs MIA · vs Eury Pérez

1 K

WHIFF

✓

Mark Vientos

2026-09-25 — MIN vs TEX · vs Jacob deGrom

1 K

WHIFF

✗

Brett Callahan

2026-09-25 — DET vs PIT · vs Bubba Chandler

0 K

CHASE

How K picks are filtered

ACE: Pitcher K/9 ≥ 10.0 + L5 avg IP ≥ 5.5. Over 4.5 K line. Elite strikeout arms.

PUNCH: Pitcher K/9 ≥ 9.0 + L5 avg IP ≥ 5.5. Over 4.5 K line. High K rate starters with workload depth.

WHIFF: Batter K rate ≥ 28% + pitcher K/9 ≥ 9.0. Backtest: ~77% 1+K rate vs ~60% implied.

CHASE: Batter K rate ≥ 22% + pitcher K/9 ≥ 8.0. Backtest: ~68% 1+K rate vs ~60% implied.

Boosts: hot form (L3 K/9 ≥ 10) · high K opp (team K rate ≥ 25%) · hot K streak (batter L7 K rate ≥ 30%).

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