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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 25-6 (80.6%) · Streak: 2 · Parlay: 9-4 (69.2%) · S 1-1 (50.0%) · A 32-13 (71.1%) · B 257-122 (67.8%)
← PREV 2026-04-22 NEXT → Last scored 05:49 PM ET
Today's Locks
Picks locked 10:00 AM ET
Current Streak
🔥 0
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBTB vs CINCIN · vs Brandon Williamson · 1:10 PM
Score
85.0
Prob
70%
Tier
A
Locked at 85.5 (A) · 10:00 AM ET
✓ HIT
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORTOR vs LAALAA · vs José Soriano · 3:07 PM
Score
81.5
Prob
69%
Tier
A
Locked at 81.0 (A) · 10:00 AM ET
✗ MISS
Yesterday's Card
22-12 Record 64.7% Hit Rate 34 Picks
Player Score Tier Line Result
Otto Lopez 90.0 S 0-for-5, 1K ✗ MISS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 86.1 A 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Jordan Walker 83.8 A 0-for-4, 2K ✗ MISS
William Contreras 83.0 A 2-for-5 ✓ HIT
Alec Burleson 82.6 A 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Oneil Cruz 80.0 A 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Matt Olson 77.0 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Freddie Freeman 76.8 B 0-for-2 ✗ MISS
Xavier Edwards 76.0 B 2-for-4 ✓ HIT
Mike Trout 75.8 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Iván Herrera 75.8 B 2-for-5, 2K ✓ HIT
Jo Adell 75.1 B 0-for-3, 1K ✗ MISS
Yandy Díaz 75.0 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Brandon Nimmo 73.7 B 0-for-5, 1K ✗ MISS
Ildemaro Vargas 73.5 B 1-for-4 ✓ HIT
Carson Kelly 73.4 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Ryan O'Hearn 72.1 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Kyle Tucker 71.8 B 0-for-4, 3K ✗ MISS
Shohei Ohtani 70.9 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Junior Caminero 70.5 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Jesús Sánchez 69.5 B 1-for-2 ✓ HIT
Ernie Clement 69.5 B 2-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Kyle Stowers 69.4 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Josh Jung 69.4 B 1-for-3 ✓ HIT
Kevin McGonigle 69.1 B 2-for-5 ✓ HIT
Trea Turner 69.0 B 0-for-4, 1K ✗ MISS
Ronald Acuña Jr. 69.0 B 1-for-5, 1K ✓ HIT
Mickey Moniak 69.0 B 1-for-4, 1K ✓ HIT
Drake Baldwin 68.5 B 1-for-4, 2K ✓ HIT
Nico Hoerner 68.3 B 2-for-5 ✓ HIT
Zach Neto 68.2 B 0-for-4, 2K ✗ MISS
Marcell Ozuna 68.1 B 0-for-4, 2K ✗ MISS
Elly De La Cruz 68.1 B 3-for-6, 1K ✓ HIT
Liam Hicks 68.1 B 0-for-3 ✗ MISS
39
PICKS TODAY
0
S/S+ TIER
3
A TIER
85.0
TOP SCORE
16-7
Record
70%
Hit Rate
16
Pending
39
Total Picks
Today's Card
🔒 LOCK OF THE DAY
A
85.0
70% hit prob
TB vs CIN • vs Brandon Williamson (L) • #3 • 1:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 7-game streak L7: .312 (7/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
121212112 L10
Faces Brandon Williamson who carries a 11.57 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitting 3rd in the order today. Caminero is scorching — 7 straight games with a hit and a 0.312 L7 average.
1-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
11.57
WHIP
1.71
K/9
6.43
H/9
12.9
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
A
TOR vs LAA • vs José Soriano (R) • #3 • 3:07 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 10-game streak L7: .407 (7/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 68°F · 6mph
2121111331 L10
Jr. is averaging 92.0 mph exit velocity this season with a 45% hard-hit rate. Faces José Soriano (RHP) on the mound today. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.83
K/9
8.25
H/9
3.0
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
A
80.0
69% hit prob
COL vs SD • vs Walker Buehler (R) • #2 • 8:40 PM
🔥 6-game streak L7: .280 (6/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 80°F · 21mph
3111121 L10
Moniak is outperforming his xBA by 95 points (0.315 AVG vs 0.220 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Moniak has a 14.3% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Walker Buehler who carries a 9.45 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.5/35
Contact
10.5/20
Pitcher
16.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.45
WHIP
1.95
K/9
10.16
H/9
11.6
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
78.8
69% hit prob
HOU vs CLE • vs Tanner Bibee (R) • #2 • 1:10 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 8-game streak L7: .355 (7/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 62°F · 8mph
12122112 L10
Faces Tanner Bibee (4.00 ERA) — a plus matchup by the model. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Alvarez is scorching — 8 straight games with a hit and a 0.355 L7 average.
3-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.3/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.0
WHIP
1.33
K/9
11.0
H/9
8.0
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
78.5
69% hit prob
SD vs COL • vs Tomoyuki Sugano (R) • #2 • 8:40 PM
🔥 3-game streak L7: .333 (5/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 80°F · 21mph
3211212 L10
Goes up against Tomoyuki Sugano (1.69 ERA) today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.52/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
12.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.84
K/9
7.94
H/9
5.3
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
77.9
69% hit prob
WSH vs ATL • vs Didier Fuentes (R) • #5 • 6:45 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
L7: .250 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 74°F · 6mph
12212121 L10
Finding ways on — Lile has 5 hit games out of his last 7. Matchup vs Didier Fuentes (RHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
2-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.42/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
18.5/20
Lineup
5.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.25
WHIP
0.75
K/9
9.0
H/9
4.5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
77.7
69% hit prob
STL vs MIA • vs Janson Junk (R) • #2 • 12:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .269 (5/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
1112112 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Herrera's xBA (0.288) outpaces his actual average (0.218) by 69 points — positive regression is coming. Herrera's 51.6% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
1-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.22/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
13.0/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.15
WHIP
1.38
K/9
10.98
H/9
11.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
77.5
68% hit prob
DET vs MIL • vs DL Hall (L) • #1 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .321 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 65°F · 7mph
113111222 L10
Faces DL Hall (1.67 WHIP) — he's been putting baserunners on all season. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. McGonigle is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.321 over his last 7.
1-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
11.0/20
Pitcher
10.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.67
K/9
21.0
H/9
6.0
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
76.8
68% hit prob
CWS vs AZ • vs Eduardo Rodriguez (L) • #1 • 9:40 PM
🔥 6-game streak L7: .346 (6/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
1122121 L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Meidroth is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.346 over his last 7. Meidroth's 45.0% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.3/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.2
K/9
9.0
H/9
7.2
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
76.3
68% hit prob
MIL vs DET • vs Casey Mize (R) • #2 • 6:40 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .357 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 65°F · 7mph
111222112 L10
Contreras's 46.0% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. A 0.357 average in his last 7 — Contreras's timing is locked in right now. Goes up against Casey Mize (1.50 ERA) today.
1-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.82/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.5
WHIP
1.0
K/9
13.5
H/9
6.0
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
75.5
68% hit prob
MIA vs STL • vs Kyle Leahy (R) • #2 • 12:10 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 6-game streak L7: .320 (6/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
12121112 L10
Edwards is outperforming his xBA by 39 points (0.330 AVG vs 0.291 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Faces Kyle Leahy who carries a 5.40 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
0-5
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
9.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.8
K/9
4.5
H/9
11.7
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
75.1
68% hit prob
KC vs BAL • vs Chris Bassitt (R) • #2 • 2:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 4-game streak L7: .333 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 66°F · 8mph
1131221 L10
Jr. is averaging 92.9 mph exit velocity this season with a 53% hard-hit rate. Jr. has a 12.5% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Chris Bassitt who carries a 14.21 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
1-5
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.12/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
12.0/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
14.21
WHIP
2.84
K/9
4.43
H/9
17.7
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
74.6
68% hit prob
MIA vs STL • vs Kyle Leahy (R) • #3 • 12:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .321 (6/7 H) 🏟 Neutral · 72°F
211123111 L10
Lopez has a 13.6% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Quietly productive — Lopez owns a 0.321 average across his last 7 starts. Faces Kyle Leahy who carries a 5.40 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
1-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.62/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
8.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.8
K/9
4.5
H/9
11.7
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
74.5
68% hit prob
WSH vs ATL • vs Didier Fuentes (R) • #1 • 6:45 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .185 (4/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 74°F · 6mph
112111 L10
Wood has a 27.8% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Matchup vs Didier Fuentes (RHP) grades 18/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed.
2-3
H-AB
1
K
2
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.04/35
Contact
18.0/20
Pitcher
18.5/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.25
WHIP
0.75
K/9
9.0
H/9
4.5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
74.3
68% hit prob
PIT vs TEX • vs Jack Leiter (R) • 8:05 PM projected
🔥 1-game streak L7: .161 (4/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
4122111 L10
Hitter-friendly park factor at Globe Life Field. Cruz is averaging 97.5 mph exit velocity this season with a 63% hard-hit rate. Cruz has a 21.1% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.32/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
13.0/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.45
WHIP
1.0
K/9
13.91
H/9
7.4
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
74.1
68% hit prob
TB vs CIN • vs Brandon Williamson (L) • #1 • 1:10 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 1-game streak L7: .222 (5/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
11212111 L10
Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Díaz is outperforming his xBA by 54 points (0.337 AVG vs 0.283 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them. Faces Brandon Williamson who carries a 11.57 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
3-4
H-AB
1
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.14/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
10.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
0.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
11.57
WHIP
1.71
K/9
6.43
H/9
12.9
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
74.1
68% hit prob
CHC vs PHI • vs Kyle Backhus (L) • #1 • 7:40 PM
🔥 3-game streak L7: .375 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 45°F · 9mph
12233112 L10
Faces Kyle Backhus who carries a 9.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Hoerner has hits in 3 straight, carrying a 0.375 average over his last 7.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.62/35
Contact
7.5/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.0
WHIP
1.67
K/9
12.0
H/9
12.0
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
74.0
68% hit prob
ATL vs WSH • vs Zack Littell (R) • #2 • 6:45 PM ✓ HIT · 2H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .333 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 74°F · 6mph
11222121 L10
Baldwin has a 16.2% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Baldwin is hitting 0.333 over his last 7 (6/7 with a hit). Faces Zack Littell who carries a 5.40 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
2-3
H-AB
1
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
15.0/20
Pitcher
8.0/20
Lineup
9.0/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.6
K/9
1.8
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
73.7
67% hit prob
LAD vs SF • vs Tyler Mahle (R) • 9:45 PM projected
🔥 5-game streak L7: .241 (5/7 H) ⚾ Pitcher+
12121211 L10
Ohtani's xBA (0.279) outpaces his actual average (0.245) by 34 points — positive regression is coming. Ohtani is averaging 94.6 mph exit velocity this season with a 54% hard-hit rate. Ohtani has a 26.3% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
33.7/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
7.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
4.5
WHIP
1.5
K/9
11.25
H/9
11.2
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
73.0
67% hit prob
CIN vs TB • vs Nick Martinez (R) • #3 • 1:10 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 5-game streak L7: .258 (6/7 H) 🏟 Pitcher+ · 72°F
321111113 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Cruz is on a 5-game hit streak, batting 0.258 over his last 7. Cruz is averaging 95.0 mph exit velocity this season with a 53% hard-hit rate.
0-4
H-AB
2
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
7.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.25
WHIP
0.67
K/9
5.25
H/9
5.2
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
72.5
67% hit prob
CLE vs HOU • vs Peter Lambert (R) • #3 • 1:10 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 3-game streak L7: .286 (4/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 62°F · 8mph
1222211 L10
Ramírez has a 14.3% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Matchup vs Peter Lambert (RHP) grades 19/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
1-4
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
25.04/35
Contact
16.0/20
Pitcher
19.0/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
71.9
67% hit prob
PIT vs TEX • vs Jack Leiter (R) • 8:05 PM projected
🔥 2-game streak L7: .304 (4/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
121321 L10
Goes up against Jack Leiter (2.45 ERA) today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Globe Life Field. Quietly productive — O'Hearn owns a 0.304 average across his last 7 starts.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.94/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
13.0/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.45
WHIP
1.0
K/9
13.91
H/9
7.4
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
71.7
67% hit prob
CWS vs AZ • vs Eduardo Rodriguez (L) • #2 • 9:40 PM
🔥 2-game streak L7: .172 (4/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
1121 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Vargas has only struck out at a 3% clip over his last 7 games (1 Ks in 29 PAs) — elite contact window. Matchup vs Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
24.72/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
16.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.2
K/9
9.0
H/9
7.2
Last 10 Games 4/10 with a hit
B
71.5
67% hit prob
NYY vs BOS • vs Ranger Suarez (L) • #3 • 6:45 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 9-game streak L7: .360 (7/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 45°F · 8mph
211111311 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Bellinger is scorching — 9 straight games with a hit and a 0.360 L7 average. Bellinger has only struck out at a 8% clip over his last 7 games (2 Ks in 25 PAs) — elite contact window.
0-4
H-AB
1
K
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
8.64
WHIP
1.92
K/9
5.56
H/9
14.4
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
71.1
66% hit prob
MIL vs DET • vs Casey Mize (R) • #1 • 6:40 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 3-game streak L7: .321 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 65°F · 7mph
1331212 L10
Goes up against Casey Mize (1.50 ERA) today. Batting 1st — max plate appearances guaranteed. Turang has hits in 3 straight, carrying a 0.321 average over his last 7.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
2
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
28.62/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
11.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.5
WHIP
1.0
K/9
13.5
H/9
6.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
71.1
66% hit prob
SD vs COL • vs Tomoyuki Sugano (R) • #5 • 8:40 PM
🔥 3-game streak L7: .333 (5/7 H) 🌡 Hitter+ · 80°F · 21mph
2132111 L10
Goes up against Tomoyuki Sugano (1.69 ERA) today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Coors Field. Bogaerts has hits in 3 straight, carrying a 0.333 average over his last 7.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.64/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
12.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
4.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.69
WHIP
0.84
K/9
7.94
H/9
5.3
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
70.8
66% hit prob
CHC vs PHI • vs Kyle Backhus (L) • #3 • 7:40 PM
🔥 5-game streak L7: .320 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 45°F · 9mph
2211211 L10
Happ has a 18.8% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Kyle Backhus who carries a 9.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.8/35
Contact
13.0/20
Pitcher
14.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.0
WHIP
1.67
K/9
12.0
H/9
12.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
70.3
66% hit prob
CWS vs AZ • vs Eduardo Rodriguez (L) • #3 • 9:40 PM
🔥 4-game streak L7: .385 (6/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
113113 L10
Matchup vs Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) grades 16/20 — model sees a favorable split here. Hitter-friendly park factor at Chase Field. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
25.8/35
Contact
17.0/20
Pitcher
15.5/20
Lineup
6.5/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
1.2
K/9
9.0
H/9
7.2
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
70.0
66% hit prob
AZ vs CWS • vs Anthony Kay (L) • #7 • 9:40 PM
🔥 10-game streak L7: .321 (7/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
1112121111 L10
Vargas has only struck out at a 11% clip over his last 7 games (3 Ks in 28 PAs) — elite contact window. Faces Anthony Kay (1.50 WHIP) — he's been putting baserunners on all season. Hitter-friendly park factor at Chase Field.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
6.0/20
Lineup
6.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
3.86
WHIP
1.5
K/9
10.71
H/9
6.4
Last 10 Games 10/10 with a hit
B
69.9
66% hit prob
NYY vs BOS • vs Ranger Suarez (L) • #2 • 6:45 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
🔥 2-game streak L7: .240 (6/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 45°F · 8mph
12111111 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Judge's 52.8% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Judge has a 28.3% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
1-2
H-AB
2
BB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.42/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
7.5/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
1.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
8.64
WHIP
1.92
K/9
5.56
H/9
14.4
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.8
66% hit prob
WSH vs ATL • vs Didier Fuentes (R) • #4 • 6:45 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .136 (3/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 74°F · 6mph
213111 L10
Hitting 4th in the order today. Abrams's 48.4% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Abrams has a 14.1% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
1-5
H-AB
2
K
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
23.78/35
Contact
14.5/20
Pitcher
18.5/20
Lineup
8.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.25
WHIP
0.75
K/9
9.0
H/9
4.5
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
B
69.7
66% hit prob
BOS vs NYY • vs Max Fried (L) • #2 • 6:45 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 4-game streak L7: .208 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 45°F · 8mph
2411111 L10
Contreras has a 15.9% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Max Fried (6.3 K/9) — low punchout rate means more balls in play. Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed.
0-3
H-AB
1
K
1
BB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
29.72/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
5.0/20
Lineup
8.0/10
Park
3.0/5
Discipline
2.0/5
Momentum
3.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
1.35
WHIP
0.75
K/9
6.3
H/9
4.5
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
69.2
66% hit prob
ATL vs WSH • vs Zack Littell (R) • #3 • 6:45 PM ✓ HIT · 1H
L7: .185 (5/7 H) 🌡 Neutral · 74°F · 6mph
12211111 L10
Olson has a 18.6% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Faces Zack Littell who carries a 5.40 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today. Hitting 3rd in the order today.
1-4
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
31.24/35
Contact
20.0/20
Pitcher
8.0/20
Lineup
7.5/10
Park
2.5/5
Discipline
0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
5.4
WHIP
1.6
K/9
1.8
H/9
10.8
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
69.2
66% hit prob
TEX vs PIT • vs Braxton Ashcraft (R) • #1 • 8:05 PM
L7: .200 (5/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
3211112 L10
Nimmo has a 13.0% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. Goes up against Braxton Ashcraft (2.25 ERA) today. Hitter-friendly park factor at Globe Life Field.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.22/35
Contact
16.5/20
Pitcher
5.5/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
3.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.25
WHIP
1.0
K/9
8.25
H/9
6.0
Last 10 Games 7/10 with a hit
B
68.9
66% hit prob
CLE vs HOU • vs Peter Lambert (R) • #9 • 1:10 PM ✗ MISS
🔥 8-game streak L7: .458 (7/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 62°F · 8mph
21111331 L10
Rocchio is scorching — 8 straight games with a hit and a 0.458 L7 average. Matchup vs Peter Lambert (RHP) grades 19/20 — model sees a favorable split here.
0-4
H-AB
✗ MISS
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.9/35
Contact
5.5/20
Pitcher
19.0/20
Lineup
4.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
68.7
66% hit prob
PHI vs CHC • vs Matthew Boyd (L) • #3 • 7:40 PM
🔥 3-game streak L7: .269 (5/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 45°F · 9mph
12113111 L10
Hitting 3rd in the order today. Harper's xBA (0.289) outpaces his actual average (0.258) by 30 points — positive regression is coming. Harper has a 14.3% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
32.22/35
Contact
18.5/20
Pitcher
4.5/20
Lineup
5.5/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
6.75
WHIP
1.18
K/9
16.81
H/9
7.9
Last 10 Games 8/10 with a hit
B
68.6
66% hit prob
CHC vs PHI • vs Kyle Backhus (L) • #2 • 7:40 PM
🔥 3-game streak L7: .310 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 45°F · 9mph
211311121 L10
Bregman's 45.8% hard-hit rate means when he makes contact, it's loud. Bregman has reached base with a hit in 6 of his last 7 games. Faces Kyle Backhus who carries a 9.00 ERA — one of the weaker arms on the board today.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
30.62/35
Contact
9.0/20
Pitcher
14.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
1.5/5
Discipline
4.0/5
Momentum
2.5/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
9.0
WHIP
1.67
K/9
12.0
H/9
12.0
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
68.5
66% hit prob
TOR vs LAA • vs José Soriano (R) • #2 • 3:07 PM ✓ HIT · 3H
🔥 6-game streak L7: .310 (6/7 H) 🌡 Pitcher+ · 68°F · 6mph
131112212 L10
Batting 2nd — max plate appearances guaranteed. Clement is on a 6-game hit streak, batting 0.310 over his last 7. Clement is outperforming his xBA by 34 points (0.317 AVG vs 0.283 xBA) — he's finding hits where the data doesn't expect them.
3-5
H-AB
✓ HIT
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
35.0/35
Contact
7.5/20
Pitcher
7.0/20
Lineup
7.0/10
Park
2.0/5
Discipline
5.0/5
Momentum
5.0/5
vs. Pitcher
WHIP
0.83
K/9
8.25
H/9
3.0
Last 10 Games 9/10 with a hit
B
68.3
66% hit prob
PIT vs TEX • vs Jack Leiter (R) • 8:05 PM projected
L7: .367 (5/7 H) 🏟 Hitter+ · 72°F
123123 L10
Hitter-friendly park factor at Globe Life Field. Lowe has a 12.3% barrel rate — he's not just getting hits, he's squaring balls up. A 0.367 average in his last 7 — Lowe's timing is locked in right now.
Score Breakdown
Hit Rate
27.84/35
Contact
12.5/20
Pitcher
13.0/20
Lineup
10.0/10
Park
4.0/5
Discipline
1.0/5
Momentum
0/5
vs. Pitcher
ERA
2.45
WHIP
1.0
K/9
13.91
H/9
7.4
Last 10 Games 6/10 with a hit
Power Plays
7 LOCK picks today — extra-base hit props
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