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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 22-6 (78.6%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 8-4 (66.7%) · S 1-1 (50.0%) · A 28-12 (70.0%) · B 232-117 (66.5%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK = pitcher form + boost (~48% XBH). ELITE = base filter (~45% XBH).

XBH Record
48-78 38%
2+ TB Record
54-72 43%
Graded
126 picks L2
← PREV 2026-04-19 NEXT →
Last scored 09:00 PM ET
Shea Langeliers
SL
ATH vs CWS CWS vs Noah Schultz 4:05 PM ET
XBH Prob
60%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Langeliers: .416 ISO this season. Faces Noah Schultz on the mound today.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Yordan Alvarez
YA
HOU HOU vs STL STL vs Matthew Liberatore 2:10 PM ET
XBH Prob
60%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Alvarez: .500 ISO this season. Faces Matthew Liberatore on the mound today.
✓ HR 4 TB
Elly De La Cruz
EC
CIN CIN vs MIN MIN vs Bailey Ober 2:10 PM ET
XBH Prob
60%
Awaiting lines
With a .243 ISO, Cruz has the raw power to damage any pitcher. Faces Bailey Ober on the mound today.
✓ XBH 2 TB
Jordan Walker
JW
STL STL vs HOU HOU vs Mike Burrows 2:10 PM ET
XBH Prob
60%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Walker: .267 ISO this season. Faces Mike Burrows on the mound today.
✓ XBH 2 TB
Brice Turang
BT
Brice Turang ELITE
MIL MIL vs MIA MIA vs Eury Pérez 1:40 PM ET
XBH Prob
59%
Awaiting lines
Turang's .273 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Faces Eury Pérez on the mound today.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Ben Rice
BR
Ben Rice ELITE
NYY NYY vs KC KC vs Cole Ragans 1:35 PM ET
XBH Prob
59%
Awaiting lines
Rice brings legit pop — .244 ISO this season. Faces Cole Ragans on the mound today.
✓ HR 4 TB
Matt Olson
MO
Matt Olson ELITE
ATL ATL vs PHI PHI vs Andrew Painter 7:20 PM ET
XBH Prob
57%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Olson: .290 ISO this season. Faces Andrew Painter on the mound today.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Nick Kurtz
NK
Nick Kurtz ELITE
ATH vs CWS CWS vs Noah Schultz 4:05 PM ET
XBH Prob
57%
Awaiting lines
Kurtz's .329 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Faces Noah Schultz on the mound today.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Ramón Laureano
RL
SD SD vs LAA LAA vs Walbert Urena 4:07 PM ET
XBH Prob
55%
Awaiting lines
Laureano's slugging 0.484 on the year with .226 isolated power — the extra-base hits are real. Faces Walbert Urena on the mound today.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✓
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-04-22 — HOU HOU vs CLE CLE
HR
6 TB
✓
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-04-22 — ATL ATL vs WSH WSH
HR
5 TB
✓
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-04-22 — ATL ATL vs WSH WSH
HR
4 TB
✓
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
2026-04-22 — KC KC vs BAL BAL
HR
5 TB
✗
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
2026-04-22 — TOR TOR vs LAA LAA
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-04-22 — LAA LAA vs TOR TOR
2B
2 TB
✗
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz
2026-04-22 — CIN CIN vs TB TB
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
2026-04-22 — NYY NYY vs BOS BOS
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
2026-04-22 — BOS BOS vs NYY NYY
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
2026-04-22 — ATH vs SEA SEA
HR
5 TB
✓
James Wood
James Wood
2026-04-22 — WSH WSH vs ATL ATL
HR
5 TB
✗
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
2026-04-22 — ATH vs SEA SEA
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
2026-04-22 — HOU HOU vs CLE CLE
No XBH
1 TB
✗
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
2026-04-22 — WSH WSH vs ATL ATL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
2026-04-22 — CIN CIN vs TB TB
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-04-22 — SEA SEA vs ATH
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr.
2026-04-22 — WSH WSH vs ATL ATL
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Brice Matthews
Brice Matthews
2026-04-22 — HOU HOU vs CLE CLE
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
2026-04-22 — MIL MIL vs DET DET
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jahmai Jones
Jahmai Jones
2026-04-22 — DET DET vs MIL MIL
No XBH
0 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
41-158 (21%)
ELITE
12-47 (20%)
Jo Adell
JA
Jo Adell BOMB
LAA LAA vs SD SD vs Michael King temp
HR prob
30%
✗ No HR
Eugenio Suárez
ES
CIN CIN vs MIN MIN vs Bailey Ober pitcher_form
HR prob
28%
✗ No HR
Sal Stewart
SS
CIN CIN vs MIN MIN vs Bailey Ober pitcher_form
HR prob
28%
✗ No HR
Shohei Ohtani
SO
LAD LAD vs COL COL vs Michael Lorenzen platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Mickey Moniak
MM
COL COL vs LAD LAD vs Roki Sasaki pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✓ HOME RUN!
Michael Busch
MB
CHC CHC vs NYM NYM vs Tobias Myers pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Hunter Goodman
HG
COL COL vs LAD LAD vs Roki Sasaki pitcher_form
HR prob
25%
✗ No HR
Max Muncy
MM
Max Muncy BOMB
LAD LAD vs COL COL vs Michael Lorenzen platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Mike Trout
MT
Mike Trout BOMB
LAA LAA vs SD SD vs Michael King temp
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Zach Neto
ZN
Zach Neto BOMB
LAA LAA vs SD SD vs Michael King temp
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Will Benson
WB
CIN CIN vs MIN MIN vs Bailey Ober pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
23%
✗ No HR
Pete Crow-Armstrong
PC
CHC CHC vs NYM NYM vs Tobias Myers pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
23%
✗ No HR
Junior Caminero
JC
TB TB vs PIT PIT vs Mitch Keller
HR prob
27%
✓ HOME RUN!
Colson Montgomery
CM
CWS CWS vs ATH vs Jeffrey Springs
HR prob
27%
✓ HOME RUN!
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
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