LOCK LABS — Power Plays

BTS Single 22-6 (78.6%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 8-4 (66.7%) · S 1-1 (50.0%) · A 28-12 (70.0%) · B 232-117 (66.5%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK = pitcher form + boost (~48% XBH). ELITE = base filter (~45% XBH).

XBH Record

48-78 38%

2+ TB Record

54-72 43%

Graded

126 picks L2

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Last scored 09:00 PM ET

Matt Olson ELITE

ATL vs WSH

WSH vs Jake Irvin 6:45 PM ET

XBH Prob

60%

Awaiting lines

Elite power numbers from Olson: .290 ISO this season. Faces Jake Irvin on the mound today.

✓ HR 4 TB

Shea Langeliers ELITE

ATH vs SEA

SEA vs Emerson Hancock 9:40 PM ET

XBH Prob

60%

Awaiting lines

Elite power numbers from Langeliers: .416 ISO this season. Faces Emerson Hancock on the mound today.

✓ HR 4 TB

Yordan Alvarez ELITE

HOU vs CLE

CLE vs Slade Cecconi 6:10 PM ET

XBH Prob

60%

Awaiting lines

Elite power numbers from Alvarez: .500 ISO this season. Faces Slade Cecconi on the mound today.

✗ No XBH 1 TB

Jordan Walker ELITE

STL vs MIA

MIA vs Max Meyer 6:40 PM ET

XBH Prob

60%

Awaiting lines

Elite power numbers from Walker: .267 ISO this season. Faces Max Meyer on the mound today.

✗ No XBH 1 TB

Nick Kurtz ELITE

ATH vs SEA

SEA vs Emerson Hancock 9:40 PM ET

XBH Prob

60%

Awaiting lines

Kurtz's .329 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Faces Emerson Hancock on the mound today.

✓ HR 4 TB

Elly De La Cruz ELITE

CIN vs

TB vs Jesse Scholtens 6:40 PM ET

XBH Prob

58%

Awaiting lines

With a .243 ISO, Cruz has the raw power to damage any pitcher. Faces Jesse Scholtens on the mound today.

✗ No XBH 1 TB

Recent Results (last 20 graded)

✓

Yordan Alvarez

2026-04-22 — HOU

HOU vs

CLE

6 TB

✓

Drake Baldwin

2026-04-22 — ATL

ATL vs

WSH

5 TB

✓

Matt Olson

2026-04-22 — ATL

ATL vs

WSH

4 TB

✓

Carter Jensen

2026-04-22 —

KC vs

BAL

5 TB

✗

Daulton Varsho

2026-04-22 — TOR

TOR vs

LAA

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Zach Neto

2026-04-22 — LAA

LAA vs

TOR

2 TB

✗

Elly De La Cruz

2026-04-22 — CIN

CIN vs

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Ben Rice

2026-04-22 — NYY

NYY vs

BOS

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Wilyer Abreu

2026-04-22 — BOS

BOS vs

NYY

No XBH

1 TB

✓

Nick Kurtz

2026-04-22 — ATH vs SEA

SEA

5 TB

✓

James Wood

2026-04-22 — WSH

WSH vs

ATL

5 TB

✗

Shea Langeliers

2026-04-22 — ATH vs SEA

SEA

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Christian Walker

2026-04-22 — HOU

HOU vs

CLE

No XBH

1 TB

✗

CJ Abrams

2026-04-22 — WSH

WSH vs

ATL

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Sal Stewart

2026-04-22 — CIN

CIN vs

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Cole Young

2026-04-22 — SEA

SEA vs ATH

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Luis García Jr.

2026-04-22 — WSH

WSH vs

ATL

No XBH

1 TB

✗

Brice Matthews

2026-04-22 — HOU

HOU vs

CLE

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Brice Turang

2026-04-22 — MIL

MIL vs

DET

No XBH

0 TB

✗

Jahmai Jones

2026-04-22 — DET

DET vs

MIL

No XBH

0 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB

41-158 (21%)

ELITE

12-47 (20%)

Shohei Ohtani BOMB

LAD vs COL

COL vs Jose Quintana temp pitcher_form

HR prob

31%

✗ No HR

Max Muncy BOMB

LAD vs COL

COL vs Jose Quintana temp pitcher_form

HR prob

28%

✓ HOME RUN! 2 HR

Kyle Schwarber BOMB

PHI vs CHC

CHC vs Colin Rea platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Kyle Stowers BOMB

MIA vs STL

STL vs Michael McGreevy platoon

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Nick Kurtz BOMB

ATH vs SEA

SEA vs Emerson Hancock platoon

HR prob

27%

✓ HOME RUN!

Kyle Manzardo BOMB

CLE vs HOU

HOU vs Spencer Arrighetti platoon

HR prob

24%

✗ No HR

Bryce Harper BOMB

PHI vs CHC

CHC vs Colin Rea platoon

HR prob

21%

✗ No HR

José Ramírez BOMB

CLE vs HOU

HOU vs Spencer Arrighetti platoon

HR prob

21%

✗ No HR

James Wood BOMB

WSH vs ATL

ATL vs Bryce Elder platoon

HR prob

21%

✗ No HR

Taylor Ward ELITE

BAL vs

KC vs Seth Lugo

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Pete Alonso ELITE

BAL vs

KC vs Seth Lugo

HR prob

27%

✗ No HR

Shea Langeliers ELITE

ATH vs SEA

SEA vs Emerson Hancock

HR prob

27%

✓ HOME RUN!

Isaac Paredes ELITE

HOU vs CLE

CLE vs Slade Cecconi

HR prob

24%

✓ HOME RUN! 2 HR

How picks are filtered

2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.

HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.

LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
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