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DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 21-5 (80.8%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 8-3 (72.7%) · S 1-1 (50.0%) · A 27-11 (71.1%) · B 217-111 (66.2%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK = pitcher form + boost (~48% XBH). ELITE = base filter (~45% XBH).

XBH Record
41-65 39%
2+ TB Record
47-59 44%
Graded
106 picks L1
← PREV 2026-04-21 NEXT →
Last scored 06:00 PM ET
Brice Turang
BT
Brice Turang ELITE
MIL MIL vs DET DET vs Keider Montero 6:40 PM ET
XBH Prob
60%
Awaiting lines
Turang's .273 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Faces Keider Montero on the mound today.
✓ No XBH 2 TB
Shea Langeliers
SL
ATH vs SEA SEA vs Luis Castillo 9:40 PM ET
XBH Prob
60%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Langeliers: .416 ISO this season. Faces Luis Castillo on the mound today.
✓ HR 5 TB
Yordan Alvarez
YA
HOU HOU vs CLE CLE vs Parker Messick 6:10 PM ET
XBH Prob
60%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Alvarez: .500 ISO this season. Faces Parker Messick on the mound today.
✓ XBH 3 TB
Jordan Walker
JW
STL STL vs MIA MIA vs Chris Paddack 6:40 PM ET
XBH Prob
60%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Walker: .267 ISO this season. Faces Chris Paddack on the mound today.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Elly De La Cruz
EC
CIN CIN vs TB TB vs Steven Matz 6:40 PM ET
XBH Prob
59%
Awaiting lines
With a .243 ISO, Cruz has the raw power to damage any pitcher. Faces Steven Matz on the mound today.
✓ HR 9 TB
Ben Rice
BR
Ben Rice ELITE
NYY NYY vs BOS BOS vs Connelly Early 6:45 PM ET
XBH Prob
59%
Awaiting lines
Rice brings legit pop — .244 ISO this season. Faces Connelly Early on the mound today.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Nick Kurtz
NK
Nick Kurtz ELITE
ATH vs SEA SEA vs Luis Castillo 9:40 PM ET
XBH Prob
58%
Awaiting lines
Kurtz's .329 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Faces Luis Castillo on the mound today.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Matt Olson
MO
Matt Olson ELITE
ATL ATL vs WSH WSH vs Foster Griffin 6:45 PM ET
XBH Prob
57%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Olson: .290 ISO this season. Faces Foster Griffin on the mound today.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Freddie Freeman
FF
LAD LAD vs SF SF vs Landen Roupp 9:45 PM ET
XBH Prob
56%
Awaiting lines
Freeman brings legit pop — .237 ISO this season. Faces Landen Roupp on the mound today.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Ramón Laureano
RL
SD SD vs COL COL vs Jimmy Herget 8:40 PM ET
XBH Prob
55%
Awaiting lines
Laureano's slugging 0.484 on the year with .226 isolated power — the extra-base hits are real. Faces Jimmy Herget on the mound today.
✗ No XBH 0 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-04-21 — STL STL vs MIA MIA
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
2026-04-21 — ATH vs SEA SEA
HR
5 TB
✓
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-04-21 — HOU HOU vs CLE CLE
2B
3 TB
✗
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
2026-04-21 — MIL MIL vs DET DET
No XBH
2 TB
✓
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz
2026-04-21 — CIN CIN vs TB TB
HR
9 TB
✗
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
2026-04-21 — NYY NYY vs BOS BOS
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
2026-04-21 — ATH vs SEA SEA
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-04-21 — ATL ATL vs WSH WSH
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
2026-04-21 — LAD LAD vs SF SF
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Ramón Laureano
Ramón Laureano
2026-04-21 — SD SD vs COL COL
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-04-20 — STL STL vs MIA MIA
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-04-20 — ATL ATL vs WSH WSH
HR
4 TB
✗
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-04-20 — HOU HOU vs CLE CLE
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
2026-04-20 — ATH vs SEA SEA
HR
4 TB
✓
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
2026-04-20 — ATH vs SEA SEA
HR
4 TB
✗
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz
2026-04-20 — CIN CIN vs TB TB
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
2026-04-19 — STL STL vs HOU HOU
2B
2 TB
✗
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
2026-04-19 — ATH vs CWS CWS
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
2026-04-19 — HOU HOU vs STL STL
HR
4 TB
✓
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz
2026-04-19 — CIN CIN vs MIN MIN
2B
2 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
39-157 (20%)
ELITE
11-45 (20%)
Jo Adell
JA
Jo Adell BOMB
LAA LAA vs TOR TOR vs Patrick Corbin pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✗ No HR
Colson Montgomery
CM
CWS CWS vs AZ AZ vs Merrill Kelly pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
29%
✓ HOME RUN!
Daulton Varsho
DV
TOR TOR vs LAA LAA vs Jack Kochanowicz platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Mickey Moniak
MM
COL COL vs SD SD vs Randy Vásquez temp platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
James Wood
JW
James Wood BOMB
WSH WSH vs ATL ATL vs Reynaldo López platoon
HR prob
27%
✓ HOME RUN!
Hunter Goodman
HG
COL COL vs SD SD vs Randy Vásquez temp
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Mike Trout
MT
Mike Trout BOMB
LAA LAA vs TOR TOR vs Patrick Corbin pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Kyle Stowers
KS
MIA MIA vs STL STL vs Dustin May pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Wilyer Abreu
WA
BOS BOS vs NYY NYY vs Luis Gil pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Ketel Marte
KM
AZ AZ vs CWS CWS vs Sean Burke platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Corbin Carroll
CC
AZ AZ vs CWS CWS vs Sean Burke platoon
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
Zach Neto
ZN
Zach Neto BOMB
LAA LAA vs TOR TOR vs Patrick Corbin pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
23%
✗ No HR
Kyle Schwarber
KS
PHI PHI vs CHC CHC vs Shota Imanaga
HR prob
27%
✓ HOME RUN!
Bryce Harper
BH
Bryce Harper ELITE
PHI PHI vs CHC CHC vs Shota Imanaga
HR prob
24%
✓ HOME RUN!
Gary Sánchez
GS
MIL MIL vs DET DET vs Keider Montero
HR prob
24%
✗ No HR
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
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