Enter Access Code
DATA IN. LOCKS OUT.
Welcome to Lock Labs! Scores above 80 = strong pick · Tier S+ = elite · Tap any pick to see the breakdown.
BTS Single 89-52 (63.1%) · Streak: 0 · Parlay: 23-32 (41.8%) · S 8-5 (61.5%) · A 164-73 (69.2%) · B 1705-896 (65.6%)

Power Plays

BETA

Highest conviction 2+ total base picks. LOCK tier only — pitcher form + boost required.

XBH Record
211-398 35%
2+ TB Record
265-344 44%
Graded
609 picks L1
← PREV 2026-07-19 NEXT →
Last scored 04:00 PM ET
Salvador Perez
SP
KC KC vs SD SD vs Germán Márquez 2:10 PM ET park temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
With a .235 ISO and 111 mph max exit velocity, Perez has the raw power to damage any pitcher. Germán Márquez's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: park factor 1.05x and 90°F game-time temp.
✗ No XBH 1 TB
Juan Soto
JS
Juan Soto LOCK
NYM NYM vs PHI PHI vs Alan Rangel 1:35 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Soto's .262 ISO puts him in the top tier of power hitters on today's slate. Alan Rangel has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 18% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 80°F game-time temp.
✓ 2+ TB 2 TB
Yordan Alvarez
YA
HOU HOU vs BAL BAL vs Brandon Young 2:10 PM ET platoon confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Alvarez: .500 ISO and a 118 mph max exit velo this season. Brandon Young has allowed a 10% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Gets an extra edge from platoon advantage.
✓ XBH 2 TB
CJ Abrams
CA
CJ Abrams LOCK
WSH WSH vs ATH vs Jacob Lopez 4:05 PM ET park temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Abrams is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .291 ISO with 111 mph max exit velo. Jacob Lopez has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 15% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Stacking boosts: park factor 1.23x and 86°F game-time temp.
✓ HR 6 TB
Drake Baldwin
DB
ATL ATL vs TEX TEX vs Nathan Eovaldi 1:35 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Baldwin is one of the most dangerous power bats in baseball right now — .325 ISO with 113 mph max exit velo. Nathan Eovaldi's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 91°F game-time temp.
✓ HR 11 TB
Carter Jensen
CJ
KC KC vs SD SD vs Germán Márquez 2:10 PM ET platoon park temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Jensen: .250 ISO and a 114 mph max exit velo this season. Germán Márquez's last 3 starts show a 8% XBH rate — he's been hittable for power. Everything lines up: platoon advantage, park factor 1.05x, and 90°F game-time temp.
✓ XBH 2 TB
Sal Stewart
SS
CIN CIN vs COL COL vs Ryan Feltner 3:10 PM ET park temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from Stewart: .300 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Ryan Feltner has been getting crushed for extra-base hits — 12% XBH rate in his last 3 starts. Stacking boosts: park factor 1.19x and 92°F game-time temp.
✓ HR 4 TB
Chase DeLauter
CD
CLE CLE vs PIT PIT vs Paul Skenes 1:40 PM ET platoon temp confirmed
XBH Prob
48%
Awaiting lines
Elite power numbers from DeLauter: .468 ISO and a 111 mph max exit velo this season. Paul Skenes has allowed a 11% XBH rate over his last 3 starts — hitters are squaring him up for damage. Stacking boosts: platoon advantage and 76°F game-time temp.
✓ XBH 2 TB
Recent Results (last 20 graded)
✗
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
2026-07-24 — WSH WSH vs AZ AZ
No XBH
2 TB
✗
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
2026-07-24 — AZ AZ vs WSH WSH
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
2026-07-24 — NYM NYM vs LAD LAD
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr.
2026-07-24 — WSH WSH vs AZ AZ
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
2026-07-24 — LAD LAD vs NYM NYM
3B
3 TB
✓
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
2026-07-24 — LAD LAD vs NYM NYM
2B
4 TB
✓
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
2026-07-24 — PHI PHI vs NYY NYY
2B
2 TB
✓
Jared Young
Jared Young
2026-07-24 — NYM NYM vs LAD LAD
2B
3 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-07-23 — CLE CLE vs MIN MIN
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-07-23 — ATL ATL vs SD SD
HR
4 TB
✗
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-07-23 — ATL ATL vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✓
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
2026-07-23 — AZ AZ vs STL STL
3B
3 TB
✗
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
2026-07-22 — CLE CLE vs MIN MIN
No XBH
1 TB
✗
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
2026-07-22 — LAD LAD vs PHI PHI
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
2026-07-22 — LAA LAA vs STL STL
2B
2 TB
✓
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
2026-07-22 — SD SD vs ATL ATL
HR
5 TB
✗
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
2026-07-21 — ATL ATL vs SD SD
No XBH
0 TB
✗
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
2026-07-21 — ATL ATL vs SD SD
No XBH
1 TB
✓
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
2026-07-21 — KC KC vs SF SF
HR
4 TB
✗
Cole Young
Cole Young
2026-07-21 — SEA SEA vs CIN CIN
No XBH
0 TB

Home Run Picks

BETA

Separate model — HR rate × pitcher xSLG × max exit velo. BOMB = base + boost (temp, pitcher form, or platoon).

BOMB
246-989 (20%)
ELITE
40-192 (17%)
Juan Soto
JS
Juan Soto BOMB
NYM NYM vs PHI PHI vs Alan Rangel temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
32%
✗ No HR
Michael Busch
MB
CHC CHC vs MIN MIN vs Zebby Matthews temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
32%
✗ No HR
Daulton Varsho
DV
TOR TOR vs CWS CWS vs Sean Burke platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Carter Jensen
CJ
KC KC vs SD SD vs Germán Márquez temp platoon
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Salvador Perez
SP
KC KC vs SD SD vs Germán Márquez temp
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Kody Clemens
KC
MIN MIN vs CHC CHC vs Shota Imanaga temp
HR prob
27%
✗ No HR
Jorge Polanco
JP
NYM NYM vs PHI PHI vs Alan Rangel pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
PC
CHC CHC vs MIN MIN vs Zebby Matthews temp pitcher_form platoon
HR prob
26%
✗ No HR
Vinnie Pasquantino
VP
KC KC vs SD SD vs Germán Márquez platoon
HR prob
24%
How picks are filtered
2+ TB: ISO×pxSLG ≥ .100 + pitcher L3 XBH rate ≥ .08 + boost flag. ~48% XBH hit rate vs ~29% implied.
HR: HR rate ≥ .049 + pitcher xSLG ≥ .420 + max EV ≥ 101. BOMB = base + boost. ~27% HR vs ~20-25% implied.
LOCK LABS — Data In. Locks Out.
For entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Must be 21+ and in a legal betting state.
Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
© 2026 Lock Labs. All rights reserved.